Estrela at Sporting CP

Updated

Estrela

3.4%9.1%87.4%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.49Projected Goals 3.06
0Final Score 4

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Nacional+140
W 5-3 at Casa Pia AC+240
L 2-1 vs Rio Ave+155
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+525
W 0-3 vs AVS+120
Sporting CP
Money Line
W 2-1 at Santa Clara-260
W 0-2 vs Alverca-975
W 3-0 at Tondela-425
T 1-1 vs Braga-200
W 1-0 at Estoril-425

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+2000-+1500+1600+1600+1600+1600+1730.6
Sporting CP-1200--800-714-714-714-714-439.3
Draw+900-+775+610+610+610+775+664.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+1900----+1750+1750+1730.6
Sporting CP-950-----800-800-439.3
Draw+0----+825+825+664.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +1600 to +1500
Sporting CP ML moved from -714 to -720

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 10.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +1860 to +1700
No Steam Moves On Sporting CP ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115-o3¼-110o3¼-111o3¼-111o3¼-111o3¼-110o3¼-101
Underu3¼-105-u3¼-110u3¼-109u3¼-109u3¼-109u3¼-109u3¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-101
Under-----u3¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.0%
 
No63.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.88%
Exactly 218.12%
Exactly 419.00%
Exactly 67.97%
Exactly 81.79%
Exactly 100.25%
 
Exactly 110.22%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 513.48%
Exactly 74.04%
Exactly 90.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 061.17%
Exactly 130.06%
Exactly 27.39%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 04.71%
Exactly 114.39%
Exactly 221.98%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.11%
Exactly 510.46%
Exactly 65.32%
Exactly 72.32%
Exactly 80.89%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.35%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 45.87%
Exactly 60.53%
 
Exactly 131.78%
Exactly 314.29%
Exactly 51.93%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 079.65%
Exactly 118.12%
Exactly 22.06%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 024.30%
Exactly 134.38%
Exactly 224.32%
Exactly 311.47%
Exactly 44.06%
Exactly 51.15%
Exactly 60.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals0.64%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals70.03%
Wins by 3+ goals48.45%
Wins by 4+ goals28.77%
Wins by 5+ goals14.73%
Wins by 6+ goals6.55%
Wins by 7+ goals2.53%
Wins by 8+ goals0.82%
Wins by 9+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Sporting CP
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal2.78%
Wins by 2 goals0.55%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal17.29%
Wins by 2 goals21.58%
Wins by 3 goals19.68%
Wins by 4 goals14.03%
Wins by 5 goals8.18%
Wins by 6 goals4.03%
Wins by 7 goals1.71%
Wins by 8 goals0.63%
Wins by 9 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.12%2.88%
1.586.90%13.10%
2.568.78%31.22%
3.547.35%52.65%
4.528.35%71.65%
5.514.87%85.13%
6.56.90%93.10%
7.52.86%97.14%
8.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.538.83%61.17%
1.58.76%91.24%
2.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.29%4.71%
1.580.90%19.10%
2.558.92%41.08%
3.536.53%63.47%
4.519.42%80.58%
5.58.96%91.04%
6.53.64%96.36%
7.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.65%19.35%
1.548.87%51.13%
2.522.77%77.23%
3.58.48%91.52%
4.52.61%97.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
2.88%
8.80%
13.45%
13.70%
10.46%
6.40%
1
1.42%
4.33%
6.61%
6.73%
5.14%
3.14%
2
0.35%
1.06%
1.62%
1.65%
1.26%
0.77%
Estrela
1-01.42%
2-00.35%
2-11.06%
Draw
0-02.88%
1-14.33%
2-21.62%
3-30.27%
Sporting CP
0-18.80%
0-213.45%
1-26.61%
0-313.70%
1-36.73%
2-31.65%
0-410.46%
1-45.14%
2-41.26%
3-40.21%
0-56.40%
1-53.14%
2-50.77%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Sporting CP
Score0123456
0
19.35%
27.38%
19.37%
9.13%
3.23%
0.91%
0.22%
1
4.40%
6.23%
4.41%
2.08%
0.74%
0.21%
0.05%
2
0.50%
0.71%
0.50%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Estrela
1-04.40%
2-00.50%
2-10.71%
Draw
0-019.35%
1-16.23%
2-20.50%
Sporting CP
0-127.38%
0-219.37%
1-24.41%
0-39.13%
1-32.08%
2-30.24%
0-43.23%
1-40.74%
0-50.91%
1-50.21%
0-60.22%