Estrela at Casa Pia AC

Updated

Estrela

24.8%26.9%48.3%
Estrela WinDrawCasa Pia AC Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.43
5Final Score 3

Casa Pia AC

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Rio Ave+155
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+525
W 0-3 vs AVS+120
T 0-0 at Tondela+265
L 2-0 vs Vitoria+210
Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 0-4 at Braga+720
T 2-2 vs Estoril+180
L 1-2 at Moreirense+270
T 1-1 vs Famalicao+260
W 2-0 at Arouca+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+260-+255+220+220+220+255+244.8
Casa Pia AC+115-+120+126+126+126+126+143.5
Draw+212-+205+210+210+210+210+234.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+255----+240+240+244.8
Casa Pia AC+120----+130+130+143.5
Draw+220----+210+210+234.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 40.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +215 to +205
Casa Pia AC ML moved from +133 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +250 to +240
Casa Pia AC ML moved from +120 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-128-o2-118o2-113o2-114o2-113o2-113o2-103
Underu2+108-u2-102u2-107u2-106u2-107u2-102u2+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-103
Under-----u2+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.39%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 412.25%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.22%
Exactly 320.71%
Exactly 55.79%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 039.10%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.24%
Exactly 35.40%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 024.03%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 311.61%
Exactly 44.14%
Exactly 51.18%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.45%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 064.74%
Exactly 128.15%
Exactly 26.12%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 051.67%
Exactly 134.12%
Exactly 211.26%
Exactly 32.48%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals8.56%
Wins by 3+ goals2.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals23.65%
Wins by 3+ goals9.05%
Wins by 4+ goals2.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Casa Pia AC
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal16.20%
Wins by 2 goals6.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal24.61%
Wins by 2 goals14.60%
Wins by 3 goals6.28%
Wins by 4 goals2.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.61%9.39%
1.568.39%31.61%
2.542.11%57.89%
3.521.40%78.60%
4.59.15%90.85%
5.53.36%96.64%
6.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.90%39.10%
1.524.18%75.82%
2.56.94%93.06%
3.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.97%24.03%
1.541.71%58.29%
2.517.28%82.72%
3.55.67%94.33%
4.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.55%33.45%
1.529.91%70.09%
2.59.86%90.14%
3.52.54%97.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Casa Pia AC
Score012345
0
9.39%
13.40%
9.55%
4.54%
1.62%
0.46%
1
8.82%
12.58%
8.97%
4.26%
1.52%
0.43%
2
4.14%
5.91%
4.21%
2.00%
0.71%
0.20%
3
1.30%
1.85%
1.32%
0.63%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.30%
0.43%
0.31%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Estrela
1-08.82%
2-04.14%
2-15.91%
3-01.30%
3-11.85%
3-21.32%
4-00.30%
4-10.43%
4-20.31%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.39%
1-112.58%
2-24.21%
3-30.63%
Casa Pia AC
0-113.40%
0-29.55%
1-28.97%
0-34.54%
1-34.26%
2-32.00%
0-41.62%
1-41.52%
2-40.71%
3-40.22%
0-50.46%
1-50.43%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Casa Pia AC
Score01234
0
33.45%
22.09%
7.29%
1.60%
0.26%
1
14.54%
9.60%
3.17%
0.70%
0.12%
2
3.16%
2.09%
0.69%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.46%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Estrela
1-014.54%
2-03.16%
2-12.09%
3-00.46%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-033.45%
1-19.60%
2-20.69%
Casa Pia AC
0-122.09%
0-27.29%
1-23.17%
0-31.60%
1-30.70%
2-30.15%
0-40.26%
1-40.12%
Estoril at Rio Ave
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