Braga at Portimonense

Updated

Braga

48.4%27.0%24.6%
Braga WinDrawPortimonense Win
1.42Projected Goals 0.92
2Final Score 1

Portimonense

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Casa Pia AC-240
W 1-0 at Gil Vicente FC-175
W 2-0 at Estoril-155
L 1-0 vs Chaves-280
L 1-4 at Porto+330
Portimonense
Money Line
W 2-1 at Gil Vicente FC+230
T 1-1 vs Estoril+145
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+220
L 2-0 vs Porto+775
L 0-1 at FC Vizela+285

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-120+113+110+112+111+112+113+117.2
Portimonense+340+253+250+225+260+225+260+270.6
Draw+235+249+225+230+260+230+260+270.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-140-----110-110+117.2
Portimonense+390----+290+290+270.6
Draw+280----+270+270+270.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 20.0%
Portimonense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Portimonense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +100 to -101
Portimonense ML moved from +260 to +253

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Portimonense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Portimonense: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -140 to -155
Portimonense ML moved from +320 to +290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-121o2½-118o2¾+105o2½-116o2¾+105o2½-116o2½-108
Underu2½-102u2½+103u2½-102u2¾-125u2½+101u2¾-125u2¾-125u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-108
Under-----u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.67%
Exactly 226.39%
Exactly 412.00%
Exactly 62.18%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.59%
Exactly 320.55%
Exactly 55.61%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 024.33%
Exactly 134.39%
Exactly 224.30%
Exactly 311.45%
Exactly 44.05%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 039.74%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.92%
Exactly 35.20%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.90%
Exactly 219.83%
Exactly 41.93%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.15%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 051.97%
Exactly 134.01%
Exactly 211.13%
Exactly 32.43%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 065.23%
Exactly 127.87%
Exactly 25.95%
Exactly 30.85%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals23.58%
Wins by 3+ goals8.98%
Wins by 4+ goals2.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.66%
Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals8.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Portimonense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Braga
Wins by 1 goal24.74%
Wins by 2 goals14.61%
Wins by 3 goals6.24%
Wins by 4 goals2.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.55%
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal16.15%
Wins by 2 goals6.22%
Wins by 3 goals1.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.33%9.67%
1.567.74%32.26%
2.541.35%58.65%
3.520.80%79.20%
4.58.80%91.20%
5.53.20%96.80%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.67%24.33%
1.541.28%58.72%
2.516.98%83.02%
3.55.53%94.47%
4.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.26%39.74%
1.523.58%76.42%
2.56.66%93.34%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.10%33.90%
1.529.42%70.58%
2.59.59%90.41%
3.52.44%97.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Portimonense
Score01234
0
9.67%
8.92%
4.12%
1.27%
0.29%
1
13.67%
12.61%
5.82%
1.79%
0.41%
2
9.66%
8.91%
4.11%
1.26%
0.29%
3
4.55%
4.20%
1.94%
0.60%
0.14%
4
1.61%
1.48%
0.68%
0.21%
0.05%
5
0.45%
0.42%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
Braga
1-013.67%
2-09.66%
2-18.91%
3-04.55%
3-14.20%
3-21.94%
4-01.61%
4-11.48%
4-20.68%
4-30.21%
5-00.45%
5-10.42%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-09.67%
1-112.61%
2-24.11%
3-30.60%
Portimonense
0-18.92%
0-24.12%
1-25.82%
0-31.27%
1-31.79%
2-31.26%
0-40.29%
1-40.41%
2-40.29%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Portimonense
Score0123
0
33.90%
14.48%
3.09%
0.44%
1
22.19%
9.48%
2.02%
0.29%
2
7.26%
3.10%
0.66%
0.09%
3
1.58%
0.68%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.26%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Braga
1-022.19%
2-07.26%
2-13.10%
3-01.58%
3-10.68%
3-20.14%
4-00.26%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-033.90%
1-19.48%
2-20.66%
Portimonense
0-114.48%
0-23.09%
1-22.02%
0-30.44%
1-30.29%