Benfica at Estoril

Updated

Benfica

78.0%14.5%7.5%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.51Projected Goals 0.65
2Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 0-6 vs AVS-1550
W 3-0 at Vitoria-170
T 2-2 vs Arouca-800
W 4-1 at Porto+130
W 2-3 vs SC Farense-725
Estoril
Money Line
W 3-1 at Casa Pia AC+220
L 2-0 vs Braga+375
L 0-3 at Famalicao+310
W 3-0 at AVS+145
L 2-1 vs Porto+510

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-335-513-550-580-566-580-513-361.7
Estoril+750+1198+1200+1000+1068+1000+1200+1097.7
Draw+440+694+600+590+617+590+694+651.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-625-----530-530-361.7
Estoril+1375----+1200+1200+1097.7
Draw+725----+650+650+651.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -526 to -580
Estoril ML moved from +1256 to +1198

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -570 to -600
Estoril ML moved from +1350 to +1200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3½-102o3½-102o3½-102o3½+100o3½-102o3½+100o3½+107
Underu3-102u3½-115u3½-118u3½-118u3½-122u3½-118u3½-115u3½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+107
Under-----u3½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¾-119 to u3½-117

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.7%
 
No56.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.25%
Exactly 221.20%
Exactly 417.62%
Exactly 65.86%
Exactly 81.04%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.42%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 511.13%
Exactly 72.64%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 08.11%
Exactly 120.37%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 413.46%
Exactly 56.76%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 71.02%
Exactly 80.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 052.44%
Exactly 133.85%
Exactly 210.92%
Exactly 32.35%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.17%
Exactly 224.77%
Exactly 44.41%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.88%
Exactly 312.07%
Exactly 51.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 031.24%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 38.20%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 074.17%
Exactly 122.17%
Exactly 23.31%
Exactly 30.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals55.90%
Wins by 3+ goals33.59%
Wins by 4+ goals16.98%
Wins by 5+ goals7.30%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals1.76%
Wins by 3+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Estoril
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal22.02%
Wins by 2 goals22.31%
Wins by 3 goals16.60%
Wins by 4 goals9.68%
Wins by 5 goals4.62%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal5.65%
Wins by 2 goals1.46%
Wins by 3 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.75%4.25%
1.582.33%17.67%
2.561.13%38.87%
3.538.81%61.19%
4.521.20%78.80%
5.510.07%89.93%
6.54.21%95.79%
7.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.89%8.11%
1.571.53%28.47%
2.545.94%54.06%
3.524.51%75.49%
4.511.05%88.95%
5.54.29%95.71%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.56%52.44%
1.513.71%86.29%
2.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.83%23.17%
1.542.94%57.06%
2.518.17%81.83%
3.56.10%93.90%
4.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Estoril
Score0123
0
4.25%
2.74%
0.89%
0.19%
1
10.68%
6.89%
2.22%
0.48%
2
13.42%
8.66%
2.80%
0.60%
3
11.24%
7.25%
2.34%
0.50%
4
7.06%
4.56%
1.47%
0.32%
5
3.55%
2.29%
0.74%
0.16%
Benfica
1-010.68%
2-013.42%
2-18.66%
3-011.24%
3-17.25%
3-22.34%
4-07.06%
4-14.56%
4-21.47%
4-30.32%
5-03.55%
5-12.29%
5-20.74%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-04.25%
1-16.89%
2-22.80%
3-30.50%
Estoril
0-12.74%
0-20.89%
1-22.22%
0-30.19%
1-30.48%
2-30.60%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Estoril
Score0123
0
23.17%
6.93%
1.03%
0.10%
1
26.96%
8.06%
1.20%
0.12%
2
15.68%
4.69%
0.70%
0.07%
3
6.08%
1.82%
0.27%
0.03%
4
1.77%
0.53%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.41%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Benfica
1-026.96%
2-015.68%
2-14.69%
3-06.08%
3-11.82%
3-20.27%
4-01.77%
4-10.53%
5-00.41%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-023.17%
1-18.06%
2-20.70%
Estoril
0-16.93%
0-21.03%
1-21.20%
0-30.10%
1-30.12%