Benfica at Braga

Updated

Benfica

43.4%26.3%30.3%
Benfica WinDrawBraga Win
1.42Projected Goals 1.14
2Final Score 3

Braga

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Estoril-325
T 1-1 vs FC Vizela-405
W 2-1 at Portimonense-200
W 0-3 vs Vitoria-310
T 2-2 at Boavista-255
Braga
Money Line
W 2-1 at Portimonense-115
L 1-0 vs Gil Vicente FC-125
T 1-1 at Boavista+105
T 0-0 vs Santa Clara-160
W 1-0 at Tondela-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+120+170-+163+165-+170+178.4
Braga+215+160-+176+152-+176+180.5
Draw+235+215-+254+251-+254+251.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+120----+135+135+178.4
Braga+215----+200+200+180.5
Draw+255----+240+240+251.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 30.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +180 to +170
Braga ML moved from +165 to +157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Braga: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Benfica ML
Braga ML moved from +215 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o2½-115o2½-113o2½-113-o2½-113o2½-113o2½-104
Underu2¾+100u2½-105u2½-107u2½-102-u2½-107u2½-102u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.69%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 413.87%
Exactly 63.04%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.73%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 57.11%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 024.12%
Exactly 134.30%
Exactly 224.39%
Exactly 311.56%
Exactly 44.11%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 031.90%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 37.93%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.50%
Exactly 221.50%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.51%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 051.77%
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 211.22%
Exactly 32.46%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 058.92%
Exactly 131.17%
Exactly 28.24%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals20.76%
Wins by 3+ goals7.81%
Wins by 4+ goals2.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.56%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals12.02%
Wins by 3+ goals3.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Braga
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal22.59%
Wins by 2 goals12.95%
Wins by 3 goals5.45%
Wins by 4 goals1.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.47%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal18.15%
Wins by 2 goals8.36%
Wins by 3 goals2.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.31%7.69%
1.572.57%27.43%
2.547.27%52.73%
3.525.63%74.37%
4.511.76%88.24%
5.54.65%95.35%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.88%24.12%
1.541.57%58.43%
2.517.19%82.81%
3.55.62%94.38%
4.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.10%31.90%
1.531.65%68.35%
2.510.83%89.17%
3.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.50%30.50%
1.533.28%66.72%
2.511.78%88.22%
3.53.27%96.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Braga
Score012345
0
7.69%
8.79%
5.02%
1.91%
0.55%
0.12%
1
10.94%
12.50%
7.14%
2.72%
0.78%
0.18%
2
7.78%
8.89%
5.08%
1.93%
0.55%
0.13%
3
3.69%
4.21%
2.41%
0.92%
0.26%
0.06%
4
1.31%
1.50%
0.86%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.37%
0.43%
0.24%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Benfica
1-010.94%
2-07.78%
2-18.89%
3-03.69%
3-14.21%
3-22.41%
4-01.31%
4-11.50%
4-20.86%
4-30.33%
5-00.37%
5-10.43%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-07.69%
1-112.50%
2-25.08%
3-30.92%
Braga
0-18.79%
0-25.02%
1-27.14%
0-31.91%
1-32.72%
2-31.93%
0-40.55%
1-40.78%
2-40.55%
3-40.26%
0-50.12%
1-50.18%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Braga
Score0123
0
30.50%
16.14%
4.27%
0.75%
1
20.08%
10.62%
2.81%
0.50%
2
6.61%
3.50%
0.93%
0.16%
3
1.45%
0.77%
0.20%
0.04%
4
0.24%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Benfica
1-020.08%
2-06.61%
2-13.50%
3-01.45%
3-10.77%
3-20.20%
4-00.24%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-030.50%
1-110.62%
2-20.93%
Braga
0-116.14%
0-24.27%
1-22.81%
0-30.75%
1-30.50%
2-30.16%