Valladolid at Real Madrid

Updated

Valladolid

4.9%11.3%83.8%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.82
0Final Score 6

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Valladolid
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Athletic Club+305
T 1-1 at Elche+180
W 1-2 vs Espanyol+130
L 0-3 at Celta Vigo+440
L 1-2 at Betis+455
Real Madrid
Money Line
L 1-2 at Barcelona+220
W 1-3 vs Espanyol-375
T 0-0 at Betis-140
T 1-1 vs Atletico Madrid-120
W 2-0 at Osasuna-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valladolid+1100+1232+1200+1400+1404+1400+1404+1453.0
Real Madrid-500-509-575-565-546-565-509-457.5
Draw+600+674+700+740+731+740+740+769.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valladolid+1225----+1245+1245+1453.0
Real Madrid-500-----520-520-457.5
Draw+600----+620+620+769.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valladolid: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valladolid: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valladolid ML moved from +1378 to +1365
Real Madrid ML moved from -543 to -555

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valladolid: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valladolid: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valladolid ML moved from +1225 to +1190
Real Madrid ML moved from -500 to -520

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105o3½-115o3½-118o3½-112o3½-110o3½-112o3½-110o3½-102
Underu3¼-115u3½-103u3½-102u3½-108u3½-105u3½-108u3½-102u3½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½+110--o3½+100o3½+105o3½+110o3½-102
Underu3½-130u3½-130--u3½-130u3½-125u3½-125u3½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-110 to u3¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+110 to o3½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.3%
 
No59.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.41%
Exactly 219.46%
Exactly 418.51%
Exactly 67.04%
Exactly 81.43%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.52%
Exactly 321.92%
Exactly 512.50%
Exactly 73.40%
Exactly 90.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Valladolid
Exactly 057.19%
Exactly 131.96%
Exactly 28.93%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 05.97%
Exactly 116.82%
Exactly 223.71%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 415.70%
Exactly 58.85%
Exactly 64.16%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 80.59%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.93%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 45.22%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.73%
Exactly 313.35%
Exactly 51.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valladolid
Exactly 077.20%
Exactly 119.97%
Exactly 22.58%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 027.11%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 223.09%
Exactly 310.05%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 50.86%
Exactly 60.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valladolid
Wins by 2+ goals1.02%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals64.25%
Wins by 3+ goals42.02%
Wins by 4+ goals23.40%
Wins by 5+ goals11.19%
Wins by 6+ goals4.64%
Wins by 7+ goals1.67%
Wins by 8+ goals0.50%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Valladolid
Real Madrid
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Valladolid
Wins by 1 goal3.85%
Wins by 2 goals0.87%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal19.46%
Wins by 2 goals22.24%
Wins by 3 goals18.62%
Wins by 4 goals12.21%
Wins by 5 goals6.55%
Wins by 6 goals2.97%
Wins by 7 goals1.16%
Wins by 8 goals0.40%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.59%3.41%
1.585.06%14.94%
2.565.60%34.40%
3.543.68%56.32%
4.525.17%74.83%
5.512.67%87.33%
6.55.63%94.37%
7.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Valladolid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.81%57.19%
1.510.85%89.15%
2.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.03%5.97%
1.577.22%22.78%
2.553.51%46.49%
3.531.23%68.77%
4.515.53%84.47%
5.56.68%93.32%
6.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.07%20.93%
1.546.34%53.66%
2.520.74%79.26%
3.57.39%92.61%
4.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valladolid
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.41%
9.62%
13.56%
12.74%
8.98%
5.06%
1
1.91%
5.37%
7.58%
7.12%
5.02%
2.83%
2
0.53%
1.50%
2.12%
1.99%
1.40%
0.79%
Valladolid
1-01.91%
2-00.53%
2-11.50%
Draw
0-03.41%
1-15.37%
2-22.12%
3-30.37%
Real Madrid
0-19.62%
0-213.56%
1-27.58%
0-312.74%
1-37.12%
2-31.99%
0-48.98%
1-45.02%
2-41.40%
3-40.26%
0-55.06%
1-52.83%
2-50.79%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Valladolid
Real Madrid
Score0123456
0
20.93%
27.32%
17.83%
7.76%
2.53%
0.66%
0.14%
1
5.41%
7.07%
4.61%
2.01%
0.65%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.70%
0.91%
0.60%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Valladolid
1-05.41%
2-00.70%
2-10.91%
Draw
0-020.93%
1-17.07%
2-20.60%
Real Madrid
0-127.32%
0-217.83%
1-24.61%
0-37.76%
1-32.01%
2-30.26%
0-42.53%
1-40.65%
0-50.66%
1-50.17%
0-60.14%