Almería at Celta Vigo

Updated

Almeria

20.2%24.0%55.8%
Almería WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.70
2Final Score 2

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Cadiz+100
L 1-2 at Sevilla+440
L 2-0 vs Villarreal+225
W 0-1 vs Barcelona+575
L 2-6 at Girona+350
Celta Vigo
Money Line
W 3-1 at Espanyol+160
W 0-3 vs Rayo Vallecano+105
T 0-0 at Osasuna+190
W 0-3 vs Valladolid-150
T 1-1 at Real Sociedad+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+440+531+500+575+560+575+575+599.6
Celta Vigo-165-193-200-200-192-195-192-176.1
Draw+320+350+360+355+352+340+360+356.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+430---+440+550+550+599.6
Celta Vigo-160----205-200-200-176.1
Draw+305---+270+330+330+356.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 30.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +566 to +560
Celta Vigo ML moved from -191 to -200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 30.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +460 to +440
Celta Vigo ML moved from -180 to -190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o3+114o2¾-115o2¾-115o2½-137o2¾-115o2½-137o2¾-104
Underu2½+102u3-134u2¾-105u2¾-105u2½+122u2¾-105u3-134u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-120--o2½-120o3+115o2½-120o2¾-104
Underu2½+105u2½+100--u2½-110u3-135u3-135u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-118 to o2¾-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-125 to o3+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.28%
Exactly 224.99%
Exactly 414.29%
Exactly 63.27%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.07%
Exactly 321.82%
Exactly 57.49%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 039.91%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.84%
Exactly 35.16%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 018.24%
Exactly 131.04%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 314.97%
Exactly 46.37%
Exactly 52.17%
Exactly 60.61%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.73%
Exactly 221.87%
Exactly 42.68%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 38.84%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 065.36%
Exactly 127.80%
Exactly 25.91%
Exactly 30.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 045.49%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 214.11%
Exactly 33.71%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals6.71%
Wins by 3+ goals1.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals30.85%
Wins by 3+ goals13.63%
Wins by 4+ goals4.92%
Wins by 5+ goals1.47%
Wins by 6+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Celta Vigo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal13.47%
Wins by 2 goals5.02%
Wins by 3 goals1.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal24.94%
Wins by 2 goals17.22%
Wins by 3 goals8.71%
Wins by 4 goals3.45%
Wins by 5 goals1.12%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.72%7.28%
1.573.65%26.35%
2.548.66%51.34%
3.526.84%73.16%
4.512.54%87.46%
5.55.05%94.95%
6.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.09%39.91%
1.523.43%76.57%
2.56.60%93.40%
3.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.76%18.24%
1.550.72%49.28%
2.524.31%75.69%
3.59.34%90.66%
4.52.97%97.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.27%29.73%
1.534.21%65.79%
2.512.34%87.66%
3.53.49%96.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almería
Celta Vigo
Score012345
0
7.28%
12.39%
10.54%
5.98%
2.54%
0.86%
1
6.69%
11.38%
9.68%
5.49%
2.33%
0.79%
2
3.07%
5.23%
4.45%
2.52%
1.07%
0.36%
3
0.94%
1.60%
1.36%
0.77%
0.33%
0.11%
4
0.22%
0.37%
0.31%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
Almeria
1-06.69%
2-03.07%
2-15.23%
3-00.94%
3-11.60%
3-21.36%
4-00.22%
4-10.37%
4-20.31%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-07.28%
1-111.38%
2-24.45%
3-30.77%
Celta Vigo
0-112.39%
0-210.54%
1-29.68%
0-35.98%
1-35.49%
2-32.52%
0-42.54%
1-42.33%
2-41.07%
3-40.33%
0-50.86%
1-50.79%
2-50.36%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Almería
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
29.73%
23.42%
9.22%
2.42%
0.48%
1
12.64%
9.96%
3.92%
1.03%
0.20%
2
2.69%
2.12%
0.83%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.38%
0.30%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Almeria
1-012.64%
2-02.69%
2-12.12%
3-00.38%
3-10.30%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-029.73%
1-19.96%
2-20.83%
Celta Vigo
0-123.42%
0-29.22%
1-23.92%
0-32.42%
1-31.03%
2-30.22%
0-40.48%
1-40.20%