Villarreal at Real Madrid

Updated

Villarreal

22.5%19.4%58.1%
Villarreal WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.82Projected Goals 2.11
0Final Score 0

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Elche-210
T 0-0 at Mallorca+115
T 2-2 at Atletico Madrid+475
T 0-0 at Espanyol+170
T 0-0 vs Granada-180
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Mallorca-450
W 2-1 at Valencia-125
W 2-5 vs Celta Vigo-250
W 1-0 at Betis-115
T 3-3 at Levante-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+389+500+550+548+505+550+550+562.2
Real Madrid-160-200-200-201-215-200-200-186.9
Draw+316+380+370+393+372+370+393+406.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+425---+425+500+500+562.2
Real Madrid-220----220-205-205-186.9
Draw+300---+300+375+375+406.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +549 to +541
Real Madrid ML moved from -193 to -202

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +510 to +500
Real Madrid ML moved from -190 to -205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o3¼+100o3¼+101o3¼+107-o3¼+101o3¼+107o3¼+111
Underu2¾+105u3¼-120u3¼-121u3¼-118-u3¼-121u3¼-118u3¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-115--o3-125o3-130o3-115o3¼+111
Underu3-115u3-105--u3-105u3+110u3+110u3¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.36%
Exactly 222.95%
Exactly 416.37%
Exactly 64.67%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.69%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.58%
Exactly 71.95%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 044.17%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 214.74%
Exactly 34.02%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 012.14%
Exactly 125.60%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 318.97%
Exactly 410.00%
Exactly 54.22%
Exactly 61.48%
Exactly 70.45%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.81%
Exactly 223.67%
Exactly 43.62%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 310.69%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 068.50%
Exactly 125.91%
Exactly 24.90%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 037.68%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.95%
Exactly 35.84%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals3.95%
Wins by 3+ goals0.88%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals42.87%
Wins by 3+ goals22.44%
Wins by 4+ goals9.77%
Wins by 5+ goals3.59%
Wins by 6+ goals1.12%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal9.41%
Wins by 2 goals3.07%
Wins by 3 goals0.73%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.29%
Wins by 2 goals20.43%
Wins by 3 goals12.67%
Wins by 4 goals6.18%
Wins by 5 goals2.47%
Wins by 6 goals0.83%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.64%5.36%
1.578.94%21.06%
2.555.99%44.01%
3.533.61%66.39%
4.517.24%82.76%
5.57.66%92.34%
6.52.99%97.01%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.83%44.17%
1.519.73%80.27%
2.54.99%95.01%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.86%12.14%
1.562.25%37.75%
2.535.26%64.74%
3.516.29%83.71%
4.56.30%93.70%
5.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.19%25.81%
1.539.23%60.77%
2.515.56%84.44%
3.54.87%95.13%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
5.36%
11.31%
11.92%
8.38%
4.42%
1.86%
1
4.38%
9.24%
9.74%
6.85%
3.61%
1.52%
2
1.79%
3.77%
3.98%
2.80%
1.47%
0.62%
3
0.49%
1.03%
1.08%
0.76%
0.40%
0.17%
Villarreal
1-04.38%
2-01.79%
2-13.77%
3-00.49%
3-11.03%
3-21.08%
Draw
0-05.36%
1-19.24%
2-23.98%
3-30.76%
Real Madrid
0-111.31%
0-211.92%
1-29.74%
0-38.38%
1-36.85%
2-32.80%
0-44.42%
1-43.61%
2-41.47%
3-40.40%
0-51.86%
1-51.52%
2-50.62%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
25.81%
25.19%
12.30%
4.00%
0.98%
0.19%
1
9.76%
9.53%
4.65%
1.51%
0.37%
0.07%
2
1.85%
1.80%
0.88%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.23%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-09.76%
2-01.85%
2-11.80%
3-00.23%
3-10.23%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-025.81%
1-19.53%
2-20.88%
Real Madrid
0-125.19%
0-212.30%
1-24.65%
0-34.00%
1-31.51%
2-30.29%
0-40.98%
1-40.37%
0-50.19%