Villarreal at Almería

Updated

Villarreal

40.7%27.0%32.3%
Villarreal WinDrawAlmería Win
1.33Projected Goals 1.15
2Final Score 1

Almeria

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
T 1-1 at Athletic Club+438
L 2-1 vs Atletico Madrid+210
W 0-1 vs Valencia+121
W 3-2 at Betis+260
W 1-5 vs Granada-150
Almeria
Money Line
T 2-2 at Real Sociedad+1129
L 3-0 vs Osasuna+160
W 1-0 at Las Palmas+375
T 2-2 vs Sevilla+245
L 0-1 at Celta Vigo+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+137-102-105-102-102-102-102+105.0
Almería+193+248+235+257+258+257+258+269.5
Draw+261+302+310+300+299+300+310+314.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+105--105-105-120-105-105+105.0
Almería+240-+244+230+220+250+250+269.5
Draw+270-+300+270+270+295+300+314.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Almería: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +102 to -102
Almería ML moved from +254 to +248

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Almería: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +105 to -105
Almería ML moved from +225 to +210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-7.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+111o3½+110o3¼-108o3¼-115o3-116o3¼-115o3-116o3¼-104
Underu3-131u3½-130u3¼-112u3¼-105u3+100u3¼-105u3½-130u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3½-105o3½+110o3-115o3½+105o3½+105o3-115o3¼-104
Underu3-125u3½-115u3½-130u3-105u3½-135u3½-125u3½-115u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-116 to o3¼-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.41%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 413.16%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.83%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 56.52%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 026.56%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 223.34%
Exactly 310.31%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 031.67%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 220.93%
Exactly 38.02%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.79%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 054.13%
Exactly 133.22%
Exactly 210.20%
Exactly 32.09%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 058.72%
Exactly 131.26%
Exactly 28.32%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals18.53%
Wins by 3+ goals6.59%
Wins by 4+ goals1.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%
Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals13.09%
Wins by 3+ goals4.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Almeria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal22.11%
Wins by 2 goals11.94%
Wins by 3 goals4.72%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal19.17%
Wins by 2 goals8.98%
Wins by 3 goals3.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.59%8.41%
1.570.76%29.24%
2.544.98%55.02%
3.523.72%76.28%
4.510.56%89.44%
5.54.04%95.96%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.44%26.56%
1.538.22%61.78%
2.514.88%85.12%
3.54.57%95.43%
4.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.33%31.67%
1.531.91%68.09%
2.510.98%89.02%
3.52.96%97.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.21%31.79%
1.531.78%68.22%
2.510.90%89.10%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Almeria
Score012345
0
8.41%
9.67%
5.56%
2.13%
0.61%
0.14%
1
11.15%
12.82%
7.37%
2.83%
0.81%
0.19%
2
7.39%
8.50%
4.89%
1.87%
0.54%
0.12%
3
3.27%
3.76%
2.16%
0.83%
0.24%
0.05%
4
1.08%
1.24%
0.72%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.29%
0.33%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-011.15%
2-07.39%
2-18.50%
3-03.27%
3-13.76%
3-22.16%
4-01.08%
4-11.24%
4-20.72%
4-30.27%
5-00.29%
5-10.33%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-08.41%
1-112.82%
2-24.89%
3-30.83%
Almeria
0-19.67%
0-25.56%
1-27.37%
0-32.13%
1-32.83%
2-31.87%
0-40.61%
1-40.81%
2-40.54%
3-40.24%
0-50.14%
1-50.19%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Almeria
Score01234
0
31.79%
16.92%
4.50%
0.80%
0.11%
1
19.51%
10.39%
2.76%
0.49%
0.07%
2
5.99%
3.19%
0.85%
0.15%
0.02%
3
1.22%
0.65%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-019.51%
2-05.99%
2-13.19%
3-01.22%
3-10.65%
3-20.17%
4-00.19%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-031.79%
1-110.39%
2-20.85%
Almeria
0-116.92%
0-24.50%
1-22.76%
0-30.80%
1-30.49%
2-30.15%
0-40.11%