Villarreal at Real Sociedad

Updated

Villarreal

31.1%25.3%43.5%
Villarreal WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.55
3Final Score 1

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-145
L 0-1 at Sevilla+315
L 3-1 vs Barcelona+165
T 1-1 at Celta Vigo+170
W 0-1 vs Getafe-210
Real Sociedad
Money Line
L 0-4 at Betis+225
L 2-0 vs Real Madrid+250
L 0-1 at Espanyol+160
T 0-0 vs Valencia-165
W 2-0 at Osasuna+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+275+245+250+258+246+250+258+263.9
Real Sociedad+105+120+122+125+118+122+125+130.0
Draw+225+215+235+234+220+235+235+244.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+255---+230+250+250+263.9
Real Sociedad+120---+100+120+120+130.0
Draw+220---+205+225+225+244.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +253 to +244
Real Sociedad ML moved from +130 to +122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
No Steam Moves On Real Sociedad ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2¼-122o2¼-115o2½+110-o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-112
Underu2¼-108u2¼+102u2¼-105u2½-125-u2¼-105u2½-125u2¼+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+115--o2½+110o2½+110o2½+115o2¼-112
Underu2½-135u2½-135--u2½-140u2½-130u2½-130u2¼+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.04%
Exactly 224.79%
Exactly 414.54%
Exactly 63.41%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.69%
Exactly 321.92%
Exactly 57.71%
Exactly 71.29%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 033.10%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 37.46%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 021.28%
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 313.14%
Exactly 45.08%
Exactly 51.57%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.28%
Exactly 222.09%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 39.04%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 059.93%
Exactly 130.68%
Exactly 27.85%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 048.85%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 212.53%
Exactly 32.99%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals10.41%
Wins by 3+ goals3.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals24.09%
Wins by 3+ goals9.70%
Wins by 4+ goals3.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Real Sociedad
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal16.65%
Wins by 2 goals7.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal23.29%
Wins by 2 goals14.39%
Wins by 3 goals6.56%
Wins by 4 goals2.34%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.96%7.04%
1.574.27%25.73%
2.549.48%50.52%
3.527.56%72.44%
4.513.02%86.98%
5.55.30%94.70%
6.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.90%33.10%
1.530.30%69.70%
2.510.07%89.93%
3.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.72%21.28%
1.545.79%54.21%
2.520.31%79.69%
3.57.17%92.83%
4.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.72%29.28%
1.534.76%65.24%
2.512.67%87.33%
3.53.63%96.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
7.04%
10.90%
8.43%
4.35%
1.68%
0.52%
1
7.79%
12.05%
9.32%
4.81%
1.86%
0.58%
2
4.31%
6.66%
5.15%
2.66%
1.03%
0.32%
3
1.59%
2.46%
1.90%
0.98%
0.38%
0.12%
4
0.44%
0.68%
0.53%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
Villarreal
1-07.79%
2-04.31%
2-16.66%
3-01.59%
3-12.46%
3-21.90%
4-00.44%
4-10.68%
4-20.53%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-07.04%
1-112.05%
2-25.15%
3-30.98%
4-40.10%
Real Sociedad
0-110.90%
0-28.43%
1-29.32%
0-34.35%
1-34.81%
2-32.66%
0-41.68%
1-41.86%
2-41.03%
3-40.38%
0-50.52%
1-50.58%
2-50.32%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
29.28%
20.97%
7.51%
1.79%
0.32%
1
14.99%
10.74%
3.85%
0.92%
0.16%
2
3.84%
2.75%
0.98%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.65%
0.47%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-014.99%
2-03.84%
2-12.75%
3-00.65%
3-10.47%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-029.28%
1-110.74%
2-20.98%
Real Sociedad
0-120.97%
0-27.51%
1-23.85%
0-31.79%
1-30.92%
2-30.24%
0-40.32%
1-40.16%