Valencia at Real Sociedad

Updated

Valencia

20.7%17.5%61.9%
Valencia WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.28
0Final Score 0

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Atletico Madrid+375
W 0-2 vs Villarreal+210
L 1-4 at Betis+330
T 2-2 vs Mallorca-135
L 1-3 at Barcelona+560
Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 2-0 at Osasuna+130
T 1-1 vs Athletic Club+115
W 2-0 at Celta Vigo+165
T 2-2 at Atletico Madrid+475
W 0-1 vs Mallorca-210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+300+425+485+482+449+485+485+502.8
Real Sociedad-110-160-160-157-170-160-157-148.4
Draw+255+295+300+309+302+300+309+322.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+350---+400+475+475+502.8
Real Sociedad-140----190-165-165-148.4
Draw+310---+270+300+300+322.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +458 to +449
Real Sociedad ML moved from -182 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +510 to +475
Real Sociedad ML moved from -165 to -190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-108o2½-115o2½-111-o2½-115o2½-108o2½-105
Underu2½-122u2½-112u2½-105u2½-104-u2½-105u2½-104u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-115--o2½-125o2½-115o2½-115o2½-105
Underu2½-120u2½-105--u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-105 to o2½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.79%
Exactly 222.11%
Exactly 417.02%
Exactly 65.24%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.55%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.34%
Exactly 72.27%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 046.71%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 213.53%
Exactly 33.43%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 010.25%
Exactly 123.35%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 320.19%
Exactly 411.50%
Exactly 55.24%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 70.65%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.49%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 44.00%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.45%
Exactly 311.37%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 070.30%
Exactly 124.77%
Exactly 24.37%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 034.84%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.37%
Exactly 36.81%
Exactly 41.79%
Exactly 50.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals2.93%
Wins by 3+ goals0.57%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals48.06%
Wins by 3+ goals26.71%
Wins by 4+ goals12.41%
Wins by 5+ goals4.88%
Wins by 6+ goals1.64%
Wins by 7+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Real Sociedad
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal7.85%
Wins by 2 goals2.36%
Wins by 3 goals0.50%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal23.53%
Wins by 2 goals21.35%
Wins by 3 goals14.30%
Wins by 4 goals7.52%
Wins by 5 goals3.25%
Wins by 6 goals1.18%
Wins by 7 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.21%4.79%
1.580.66%19.34%
2.558.54%41.46%
3.536.14%63.86%
4.519.13%80.87%
5.58.79%91.21%
6.53.55%96.45%
7.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.29%46.71%
1.517.73%82.27%
2.54.20%95.80%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.75%10.25%
1.566.39%33.61%
2.539.80%60.20%
3.519.61%80.39%
4.58.11%91.89%
5.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.51%24.49%
1.541.06%58.94%
2.516.82%83.18%
3.55.45%94.55%
4.51.45%98.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
4.79%
10.91%
12.42%
9.43%
5.37%
2.45%
1
3.65%
8.30%
9.46%
7.18%
4.09%
1.86%
2
1.39%
3.16%
3.60%
2.73%
1.56%
0.71%
3
0.35%
0.80%
0.91%
0.69%
0.39%
0.18%
Valencia
1-03.65%
2-01.39%
2-13.16%
3-00.35%
3-10.80%
3-20.91%
Draw
0-04.79%
1-18.30%
2-23.60%
3-30.69%
Real Sociedad
0-110.91%
0-212.42%
1-29.46%
0-39.43%
1-37.18%
2-32.73%
0-45.37%
1-44.09%
2-41.56%
3-40.39%
0-52.45%
1-51.86%
2-50.71%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
24.49%
25.82%
13.62%
4.79%
1.26%
0.27%
1
8.63%
9.10%
4.80%
1.69%
0.44%
0.09%
2
1.52%
1.60%
0.85%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-08.63%
2-01.52%
2-11.60%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-024.49%
1-19.10%
2-20.85%
Real Sociedad
0-125.82%
0-213.62%
1-24.80%
0-34.79%
1-31.69%
2-30.30%
0-41.26%
1-40.44%
0-50.27%