Valencia at Sevilla

Updated

Valencia

17.7%15.9%66.4%
WinDrawSevilla Win
0.63Projected Goals 2.34
1Final Score 3

Sevilla

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Real Madrid+360
W 4-1 at Osasuna+260
W 0-3 vs Alaves-145
T 1-1 at Granada+190
W 0-1 vs Getafe+140
Sevilla
Money Line
T 0-0 at Real Sociedad+225
T 1-1 at Elche-120
W 1-0 at Getafe+160
W 0-3 vs Rayo Vallecano-235
W 0-1 vs Alaves-275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+425+500+555+560+514+555+560+573.3
Sevilla-150-165-175-167-182-175-165-154.8
Draw+290+290+305+303+297+305+305+309.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+475---+410+520+520+573.3
Sevilla-160----175-175-175-154.8
Draw+285---+240+295+295+309.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Sevilla: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +546 to +522
Sevilla ML moved from -173 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Sevilla: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +460 to +450
Sevilla ML moved from -160 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+105o2½+105o2½+109-o2½+105o2½+109o2½+115
Underu2½-120u2½-125u2½-125u2½-120-u2½-125u2½-120u2½-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+110--o2½-110o2½+105o2½+110o2½+115
Underu2½-125u2½-130--u2½-120u2½-125u2½-120u2½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-120 to u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.0%
 
No58.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.14%
Exactly 222.64%
Exactly 416.62%
Exactly 64.88%
Exactly 80.77%
 
Exactly 115.26%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.87%
Exactly 72.07%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 053.54%
Exactly 133.45%
Exactly 210.45%
Exactly 32.18%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 09.60%
Exactly 122.50%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 320.59%
Exactly 412.06%
Exactly 55.65%
Exactly 62.21%
Exactly 70.74%
Exactly 80.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.31%
Exactly 223.89%
Exactly 43.76%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 310.94%
Exactly 51.03%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 074.88%
Exactly 121.66%
Exactly 23.13%
Exactly 30.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 033.79%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 37.19%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals1.90%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%
Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals52.57%
Wins by 3+ goals30.18%
Wins by 4+ goals14.48%
Wins by 5+ goals5.88%
Wins by 6+ goals2.04%
Wins by 7+ goals0.58%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Sevilla
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal6.21%
Wins by 2 goals1.58%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal23.30%
Wins by 2 goals22.39%
Wins by 3 goals15.70%
Wins by 4 goals8.60%
Wins by 5 goals3.85%
Wins by 6 goals1.45%
Wins by 7 goals0.47%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.86%5.14%
1.579.60%20.40%
2.556.96%43.04%
3.534.56%65.44%
4.517.94%82.06%
5.58.07%91.93%
6.53.19%96.81%
7.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.46%53.54%
1.513.01%86.99%
2.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.40%9.60%
1.567.90%32.10%
2.541.54%58.46%
3.520.95%79.05%
4.58.89%91.11%
5.53.24%96.76%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.69%25.31%
1.539.92%60.08%
2.516.03%83.97%
3.55.09%94.91%
4.51.33%98.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Sevilla
Score012345
0
5.14%
12.05%
14.11%
11.02%
6.46%
3.03%
1
3.21%
7.53%
8.82%
6.89%
4.03%
1.89%
2
1.00%
2.35%
2.75%
2.15%
1.26%
0.59%
3
0.21%
0.49%
0.57%
0.45%
0.26%
0.12%
Valencia
1-03.21%
2-01.00%
2-12.35%
3-00.21%
3-10.49%
3-20.57%
Draw
0-05.14%
1-17.53%
2-22.75%
3-30.45%
Sevilla
0-112.05%
0-214.11%
1-28.82%
0-311.02%
1-36.89%
2-32.15%
0-46.46%
1-44.03%
2-41.26%
3-40.26%
0-53.03%
1-51.89%
2-50.59%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Sevilla
Score012345
0
25.31%
27.45%
14.89%
5.39%
1.46%
0.32%
1
7.32%
7.94%
4.31%
1.56%
0.42%
0.09%
2
1.06%
1.15%
0.62%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.10%
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-07.32%
2-01.06%
2-11.15%
3-00.10%
3-10.11%
Draw
0-025.31%
1-17.94%
2-20.62%
Sevilla
0-127.45%
0-214.89%
1-24.31%
0-35.39%
1-31.56%
2-30.23%
0-41.46%
1-40.42%
0-50.32%