Alavés at Villarreal

Updated

Alaves

15.3%12.6%72.1%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.67
2Final Score 5

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
L 0-2 at Rayo Vallecano+460
T 1-1 vs Getafe+155
L 1-2 at Granada+240
L 2-1 vs Celta Vigo+190
T 2-2 at Sevilla+775
Villarreal
Money Line
W 3-1 at Real Sociedad+250
W 0-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-145
L 0-1 at Sevilla+315
L 3-1 vs Barcelona+165
T 1-1 at Celta Vigo+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alavés+500+775+765+794+723+765+794+782.9
Villarreal-185-280-255-250-276-255-250-224.4
Draw+300+400+395+406+390+395+406+412.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alavés+625---+650+750+750+782.9
Villarreal-210----280-260-260-224.4
Draw+325---+290+375+375+412.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alavés: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alavés: 0.0%
Villarreal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alavés: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alavés ML moved from +794 to +781
Villarreal ML moved from -240 to -251

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alavés: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alavés: 0.0%
Villarreal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alavés: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alavés ML moved from +800 to +750
Villarreal ML moved from -270 to -280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2¾-118o2¾-115o2½-142-o2¾-115o2½-142o2¾-106
Underu2½-122u2¾-102u2¾-105u2½+127-u2¾-105u2¾-102u2¾+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-140--o2½-150o2½-145o2½-140o2¾-106
Underu2½-105u2½+120--u2½+120u2½+125u2½+125u2¾+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-125 to o2½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.2%
 
No59.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.95%
Exactly 220.62%
Exactly 417.95%
Exactly 66.25%
Exactly 81.17%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.76%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 511.60%
Exactly 72.89%
Exactly 90.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 056.76%
Exactly 132.15%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 06.95%
Exactly 118.54%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 321.96%
Exactly 414.63%
Exactly 57.80%
Exactly 63.47%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 80.44%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.39%
Exactly 225.07%
Exactly 44.68%
Exactly 60.35%
 
Exactly 133.51%
Exactly 312.51%
Exactly 51.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 076.93%
Exactly 120.17%
Exactly 22.65%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 029.11%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 222.17%
Exactly 39.12%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals1.19%
Wins by 3+ goals0.18%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals61.02%
Wins by 3+ goals38.47%
Wins by 4+ goals20.53%
Wins by 5+ goals9.37%
Wins by 6+ goals3.70%
Wins by 7+ goals1.27%
Wins by 8+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Villarreal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal4.40%
Wins by 2 goals1.01%
Wins by 3 goals0.16%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal20.74%
Wins by 2 goals22.56%
Wins by 3 goals17.94%
Wins by 4 goals11.15%
Wins by 5 goals5.67%
Wins by 6 goals2.43%
Wins by 7 goals0.90%
Wins by 8 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.05%3.95%
1.583.29%16.71%
2.562.68%37.32%
3.540.46%59.54%
4.522.51%77.49%
5.510.91%89.09%
6.54.66%95.34%
7.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.24%56.76%
1.511.10%88.90%
2.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.05%6.95%
1.574.51%25.49%
2.549.79%50.21%
3.527.84%72.16%
4.513.20%86.80%
5.55.40%94.60%
6.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.61%22.39%
1.544.10%55.90%
2.519.03%80.97%
3.56.52%93.48%
4.51.84%98.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alavés
Villarreal
Score012345
0
3.95%
10.52%
14.03%
12.46%
8.31%
4.43%
1
2.24%
5.96%
7.94%
7.06%
4.70%
2.51%
2
0.63%
1.69%
2.25%
2.00%
1.33%
0.71%
3
0.12%
0.32%
0.42%
0.38%
0.25%
0.13%
Alaves
1-02.24%
2-00.63%
2-11.69%
3-00.12%
3-10.32%
3-20.42%
Draw
0-03.95%
1-15.96%
2-22.25%
3-30.38%
Villarreal
0-110.52%
0-214.03%
1-27.94%
0-312.46%
1-37.06%
2-32.00%
0-48.31%
1-44.70%
2-41.33%
3-40.25%
0-54.43%
1-52.51%
2-50.71%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Alavés
Villarreal
Score0123456
0
22.39%
27.64%
17.06%
7.02%
2.17%
0.53%
0.11%
1
5.87%
7.25%
4.47%
1.84%
0.57%
0.14%
0.03%
2
0.77%
0.95%
0.59%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Alaves
1-05.87%
2-00.77%
2-10.95%
Draw
0-022.39%
1-17.25%
2-20.59%
Villarreal
0-127.64%
0-217.06%
1-24.47%
0-37.02%
1-31.84%
2-30.24%
0-42.17%
1-40.57%
0-50.53%
1-50.14%
0-60.11%