Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+116
+240
+115
+257
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+102
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+115
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		23.7%
50.3%		26.0%
+360
-111
+350
-110
2
2		-1.30195-1.28403-1.34819
Valencia
Osasuna		18.4%
58.4%		23.2%
+260
+129
+250
+130
0
1		-0.85327-0.87508-0.53779
Barcelona
Levante		69.6%
12.3%		18.2%
-433
+1081
-450
+1025
3
2		-0.23859-0.24654-0.36312
Elche
Atletico Madrid		4.8%
83.3%		11.9%
+1100
-356
+1175
-390
1
1		-1.85630-1.81788-2.12796
Celta Vigo
Mallorca		32.1%
39.2%		28.7%
+137
+230
+140
+224
1
1		-1.22156-1.18705-1.24946
Alaves
Betis		17.1%
60.2%		22.7%
+373
-111
+350
-113
0
1		-0.66688-0.67970-0.50780
Osasuna
Real Madrid		10.9%
71.2%		17.9%
+1260
-428
+1200
-475
0
1		-0.23369-0.23398-0.34000
Betis
Elche		45.2%
27.9%		26.9%
+133
+235
+130
+225
1
1		-1.22847-1.22758-1.31208
Atletico Madrid
Espanyol		61.6%
16.1%		22.3%
-160
+510
-155
+510
1
2		-1.83602-1.82984-1.82573
Sevilla
Athletic Club		12.6%
66.9%		20.5%
+600
-170
+555
-175
2
3		-0.48487-0.49331-0.40200
Getafe
Celta Vigo		16.9%
59.8%		23.3%
+540
-144
+543
-150
2
0		-1.88480-1.89752-1.77922
Real Sociedad
Valencia		34.6%
36.5%		28.9%
+230
+150
+225
+150
1
1		-1.14778-1.13884-1.24271
Levante
Alaves		29.7%
42.3%		28.0%
+315
+110
+315
+115
1
2		-0.77115-0.79372-0.86067
Barcelona
Mallorca		67.4%
12.9%		19.7%
-294
+810
-300
+805
3
0		-0.32531-0.32913-0.39417
Oviedo
Villarreal		10.6%
71.8%		17.6%
+715
-258
+750
-254
0
2		-0.38091-0.37664-0.33073
Rayo Vallecano
Girona		29.2%
43.1%		27.7%
+218
+146
+223
+135
3
1		-1.18512-1.21902-1.23176
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.