Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 12, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Girona
Real Sociedad 		18.8%
57.4%		23.8%
+365
-130

0.87
1.71		2.58
o2½-118
u2½+100

Games for Dec 11, 2025
Games for Dec 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valencia
Girona		24.2%
50.3%		25.5%
+308
+101
+310
-105
1
1		-1.30111-1.30405-1.36485
Real Madrid
Villarreal		52.4%
23.5%		24.1%
+120
+222
+125
+205
2
1		-0.80910-0.85264-0.64615
Espanyol
Mallorca		18.9%
57.0%		24.1%
+435
-119
+400
-120
1
2		-0.63324-0.65348-0.56293
Celta Vigo
Valladolid		52.4%
22.7%		24.9%
-132
+420
-135
+420
1
0		-0.58146-0.57723-0.64630
Alaves
Las Palmas		35.2%
34.0%		30.8%
+180
+199
+166
+195
2
2		-1.13218-1.14577-1.17827
Girona
Espanyol		39.2%
32.6%		28.2%
+132
+255
+135
+239
1
1		-1.18368-1.17361-1.26567
Sevilla
Real Sociedad		21.2%
53.4%		25.4%
+228
+148
+235
+140
1
0		-1.22319-1.25110-1.54966
Las Palmas
Betis		18.7%
58.2%		23.1%
+910
-295
+900
-300
0
1		-0.32247-0.32563-0.54153
Mallorca
Athletic Club		12.6%
66.6%		20.8%
+478
-138
+471
-135
1
1		-1.30092-1.28750-1.57219
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid		5.9%
81.7%		12.5%
+1000
-341
+1000
-375
1
2		-0.28228-0.28238-0.20245
Atletico Madrid
Getafe		52.8%
20.6%		26.6%
-114
+415
-118
+405
1
2		-1.67121-1.66532-1.57886
Valladolid
Valencia		15.0%
64.2%		20.8%
+775
-232
+825
-260
1
2		-0.37958-0.36980-0.44357
Villarreal
Alaves		33.3%
38.3%		28.4%
+153
+212
+155
+200
0
1		-1.16571-1.14069-0.96001
Leganes
Celta Vigo		10.8%
70.5%		18.7%
+559
-175
+555
-185
1
2		-0.48293-0.48263-0.34937
Valencia
Osasuna		27.5%
45.4%		27.1%
+275
+123
+260
+120
3
3		-1.25358-1.21790-1.30708
Alaves
Mallorca		29.1%
41.4%		29.5%
+263
+147
+250
+145
1
1		-1.08957-1.07937-1.22078
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.57072 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.59180 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63226
-0.06154
-0.04046

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.