Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 12, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Girona
Real Sociedad 		18.8%
57.4%		23.8%
+365
-130

0.87
1.71		2.58
o2½-118
u2½+100

Games for Dec 11, 2025
Games for Dec 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		10.8%
71.5%		17.7%
+1100
-356
+1100
-385
0
4		-0.26528-0.27379-0.33570
Getafe
Leganes		40.3%
28.9%		30.8%
+190
+213
+187
+205
0
1		-1.16861-1.15429-1.24126
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid		19.3%
55.9%		24.8%
+274
+115
+295
+110
0
1		-0.80038-0.76942-0.58186
Real Madrid
Betis		59.7%
18.3%		22.0%
-105
+305
-110
+282
1
2		-1.41741-1.38786-1.70062
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano		29.0%
42.8%		28.2%
+215
+158
+220
+150
1
1		-1.14977-1.16587-1.26642
Celta Vigo
Girona		28.0%
45.3%		26.7%
+263
+119
+260
+115
2
2		-1.24754-1.24953-1.32111
Las Palmas
Valladolid		31.5%
39.5%		29.0%
+157
+208
+152
+215
1
1		-1.18039-1.17866-1.21285
Mallorca
Sevilla		20.0%
54.8%		25.3%
+350
-103
+335
+100
1
1		-1.23667-1.21554-1.37555
Leganes
Real Sociedad		10.0%
71.4%		18.6%
+552
-157
+600
-170
0
3		-0.51988-0.50104-0.33742
Betis
Getafe		34.4%
36.0%		29.6%
+181
+197
+180
+200
2
1		-1.06424-1.05866-1.06828
Girona
Real Madrid		6.7%
79.9%		13.4%
+950
-348
+900
-380
0
2		-0.27929-0.27926-0.22396
Valladolid
Athletic Club		9.6%
73.0%		17.4%
+1613
-515
+1500
-520
1
7		-0.21248-0.21428-0.31526
Barcelona
Las Palmas		67.5%
12.9%		19.6%
-419
+1050
-430
+1025
2
0		-0.24573-0.25126-0.39361
Atletico Madrid
Valencia		56.6%
19.5%		23.9%
+106
+315
+110
+300
3
0		-0.75260-0.77525-0.56831
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano		39.0%
33.4%		27.6%
+167
+180
+155
+180
1
0		-1.01355-0.98449-0.94133
Espanyol
Alaves		16.2%
61.1%		22.7%
+435
-113
+440
-120
1
0		-1.70468-1.72862-1.82102
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.57072 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.59180 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.63226
-0.06154
-0.04046

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.