Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+115
+240
+115
+257
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+102
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+115
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo		19.1%
57.6%		23.2%
+342
-110
+335
-115
2
1		-1.50991-1.49437-1.65496
Athletic Club
Valencia		45.6%
27.0%		27.3%
+224
+158
+220
+155
1
0		-1.20471-1.20587-0.78425
Alaves
Valladolid		51.7%
22.3%		26.0%
-154
+500
-155
+475
1
0		-0.53191-0.54177-0.65985
Betis
Atletico Madrid		12.2%
68.9%		18.8%
+520
-184
+500
-180
1
4		-0.46494-0.47797-0.37190
Athletic Club
Getafe		46.5%
24.9%		28.6%
+194
+230
+185
+230
2
0		-1.10582-1.08512-0.76512
Barcelona
Espanyol		75.1%
9.1%		15.8%
-276
+700
-290
+670
2
0		-0.34016-0.34255-0.28642
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna		50.7%
23.0%		26.3%
+115
+275
+115
+280
0
2		-1.34316-1.36145-1.46894
Betis
Rayo Vallecano		32.2%
40.1%		27.7%
+136
+228
+140
+210
2
2		-1.24414-1.21362-1.28399
Mallorca
Real Madrid		5.4%
82.3%		12.3%
+625
-226
+700
-245
1
2		-0.39707-0.37683-0.19460
Valencia
Alaves		21.7%
52.7%		25.5%
+283
+134
+285
+125
0
1		-0.87834-0.85320-0.63991
Leganes
Villarreal		7.9%
76.9%		15.2%
+880
-319
+885
-335
0
3		-0.30228-0.30016-0.26220
Las Palmas
Sevilla		17.1%
59.4%		23.6%
+450
-143
+450
-145
0
1		-0.55340-0.56068-0.52143
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad		25.6%
48.1%		26.3%
+233
+134
+220
+128
1
0		-1.22881-1.20738-1.36336
Girona
Valladolid		49.1%
24.7%		26.2%
-135
+410
-140
+378
1
0		-0.57650-0.58368-0.71133
Osasuna
Betis		22.3%
53.1%		24.6%
+455
-153
+455
-160
1
1		-1.45783-1.43083-1.40076
Alaves
Athletic Club		15.3%
61.9%		22.8%
+392
+110
+390
+115
0
1		-0.76591-0.78294-0.47941
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.