Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+115
+240
+115
+257
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+102
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+115
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Barcelona		25.2%
49.6%		25.2%
+278
-112
+250
-115
3
4		-0.64827-0.67002-0.70136
Espanyol
Leganes		29.8%
41.2%		28.9%
+230
+141
+220
+140
2
3		-0.90496-0.92591-0.88610
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid		13.8%
65.2%		21.0%
+405
-124
+370
-125
0
4		-0.61882-0.63660-0.42751
Villarreal
Girona		37.6%
34.7%		27.7%
+134
+205
+135
+195
1
0		-0.88261-0.89145-0.97896
Valladolid
Mallorca		14.8%
63.4%		21.8%
+975
-294
+910
-290
1
2		-0.31688-0.32203-0.45591
Sevilla
Celta Vigo		21.8%
53.3%		24.9%
+362
-114
+340
-115
2
3		-0.65487-0.65763-0.62946
Getafe
Valencia		24.1%
48.8%		27.1%
+370
+101
+350
+100
0
3		-0.72551-0.73205-0.71822
Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas		33.0%
37.6%		29.3%
+193
+162
+207
+150
1
0		-1.10894-1.15919-1.10745
Mallorca
Girona		20.1%
55.1%		24.8%
+320
+104
+300
+100
0
1		-0.73512-0.74482-0.59637
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		36.0%
34.1%		29.9%
+225
+160
+225
+155
0
0		-1.12393-1.13128-1.20848
Betis
Espanyol		43.2%
29.9%		26.9%
+135
+248
+133
+240
2
1		-0.88727-0.88104-0.83870
Leganes
Sevilla		13.0%
65.6%		21.3%
+505
-149
+500
-145
2
2		-1.36539-1.34661-1.54473
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid		8.9%
75.6%		15.5%
+710
-260
+575
-255
2
3		-0.34335-0.37490-0.27999
Barcelona
Valladolid		80.8%
6.3%		12.8%
-300
+744
-320
+725
2
1		-0.32223-0.32052-0.21287
Valencia
Las Palmas		34.2%
36.7%		29.2%
+192
+162
+185
+155
3
2		-1.10570-1.09679-1.07411
Osasuna
Villarreal		15.9%
63.1%		20.9%
+660
-227
+640
-200
2
4		-0.39045-0.41555-0.45999
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.