Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+115
+240
+115
+257
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+102
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+115
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico Madrid
Alaves		45.3%
26.4%		28.2%
+117
+287
+125
+270
0
0		-1.19439-1.17909-1.26489
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano		24.9%
47.2%		27.9%
+253
+142
+240
+140
0
1		-0.91534-0.91864-0.75088
Espanyol
Villarreal		9.4%
74.8%		15.8%
+665
-248
+580
-240
0
1		-0.37135-0.39990-0.29043
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid		9.4%
73.6%		17.0%
+600
-195
+600
-210
0
3		-0.44217-0.43348-0.30673
Valladolid
Betis		9.5%
74.3%		16.2%
+1650
-568
+1625
-550
1
5		-0.19041-0.19207-0.29647
Girona
Leganes		43.4%
27.9%		28.6%
+148
+227
+180
+210
1
1		-1.17357-1.13370-1.25040
Sevilla
Osasuna		27.3%
44.9%		27.8%
+265
+132
+255
+130
0
1		-0.87287-0.88150-0.80113
Real Sociedad
Alaves		28.4%
42.8%		28.7%
+248
+139
+245
+145
0
1		-0.90231-0.92166-0.84823
Real Madrid
Getafe		63.9%
14.4%		21.6%
-158
+525
-160
+530
1
0		-0.52464-0.52211-0.44718
Las Palmas
Athletic Club		9.7%
72.1%		18.1%
+825
-264
+825
-295
0
1		-0.35099-0.33986-0.32671
Villarreal
Celta Vigo		32.4%
40.7%		26.9%
+197
+142
+176
+155
0
3		-0.91412-0.97947-0.89921
Mallorca
Barcelona		5.1%
83.1%		11.8%
+1000
-315
+995
-350
0
1		-0.29781-0.29057-0.18520
Espanyol
Valencia		17.2%
60.7%		22.1%
+335
+102
+325
+100
1
1		-1.23213-1.23155-1.50932
Betis
Girona		29.1%
44.2%		26.7%
+171
+168
+165
+165
3
1		-1.02602-1.02223-1.23419
Athletic Club
Real Madrid		14.9%
63.9%		21.2%
+700
-221
+700
-195
0
1		-0.39918-0.41505-0.44762
Alaves
Sevilla		28.0%
43.1%		28.8%
+336
+110
+325
+110
1
1		-1.15913-1.14247-1.24389
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.