Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+115
+240
+115
+257
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+102
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+115
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Villarreal		21.3%
54.8%		23.8%
+425
-148
+375
-140
2
2		-1.44168-1.41001-1.43339
Osasuna
Valladolid		47.2%
25.9%		26.9%
-129
+425
-120
+410
3
2		-0.60351-0.62910-0.75150
Atletico Madrid
Las Palmas		61.4%
15.8%		22.8%
-159
+495
-160
+475
0
1		-1.81425-1.77904-1.84263
Leganes
Mallorca		17.4%
57.8%		24.8%
+465
-117
+465
-120
0
0		-1.18045-1.17990-1.39634
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		8.4%
76.7%		14.9%
+960
-391
+900
-390
3
4		-0.25877-0.27139-0.26575
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		27.0%
46.2%		26.7%
+230
+145
+235
+130
1
1		-1.18000-1.19690-1.31901
Getafe
Espanyol		33.8%
35.9%		30.3%
+228
+190
+215
+180
0
1		-1.08592-1.07362-1.02371
Valladolid
Atletico Madrid		5.2%
82.6%		12.2%
+2600
-871
+2750
-925
2
4		-0.13981-0.14455-0.19167
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club		13.3%
66.1%		20.6%
+440
-114
+435
-120
1
3		-0.64605-0.64542-0.41371
Villarreal
Betis		32.6%
40.7%		26.6%
+245
+120
+230
+115
2
1		-1.26645-1.24258-1.11960
Real Madrid
Alaves		58.5%
18.0%		23.5%
-140
+415
-140
+395
1
0		-0.56613-0.57375-0.53626
Girona
Osasuna		29.5%
42.5%		28.0%
+207
+155
+210
+146
1
2		-0.96603-0.94092-0.85637
Barcelona
Leganes		78.7%
6.9%		14.4%
-376
+1000
-400
+965
1
0		-0.26766-0.26866-0.23940
Espanyol
Celta Vigo		12.6%
68.5%		18.9%
+490
-153
+540
-157
2
0		-1.80199-1.88282-2.07465
Las Palmas
Getafe		22.6%
49.7%		27.7%
+475
-138
+425
-140
3
1		-1.77296-1.70849-1.48806
Mallorca
Real Sociedad		17.7%
58.5%		23.8%
+338
+107
+375
+110
2
0		-1.50260-1.56232-1.73313
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.