Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+115
+240
+115
+257
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+102
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+115
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Valencia		28.2%
44.3%		27.5%
+250
+135
+250
+138
0
1		-0.88271-0.89016-0.81398
Osasuna
Leganes		41.6%
29.0%		29.4%
+197
+179
+200
+168
1
1		-1.11761-1.12624-1.22516
Athletic Club
Villarreal		30.4%
42.1%		27.5%
+220
+137
+213
+135
0
0		-1.24348-1.25155-1.29095
Getafe
Valladolid		39.9%
30.5%		29.6%
+100
+378
+100
+350
4
0		-0.71947-0.74202-0.91937
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla		46.4%
26.0%		27.6%
+125
+266
+130
+257
2
1		-0.83142-0.85524-0.76772
Real Sociedad
Las Palmas		39.0%
31.7%		29.3%
+140
+224
+135
+260
3
1		-0.90612-0.86536-0.94287
Betis
Barcelona		7.6%
78.5%		13.9%
+675
-266
+700
-285
1
1		-1.77851-1.78767-1.97587
Celta Vigo
Mallorca		35.0%
35.6%		29.4%
+172
+190
+180
+180
2
1		-1.03013-1.06584-1.05065
Valencia
Real Madrid		6.0%
81.6%		12.4%
+970
-345
+1000
-380
2
1		-2.39371-2.43840-2.80644
Alaves
Girona		28.3%
43.3%		28.3%
+288
+110
+295
+105
1
0		-1.38778-1.41243-1.26188
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano		17.9%
59.1%		22.9%
+600
-145
+500
-150
4
0		-1.94799-1.83898-1.71814
Las Palmas
Celta Vigo		15.8%
62.3%		21.8%
+515
-163
+490
-172
1
1		-1.44617-1.45573-1.52207
Sevilla
Betis		23.6%
51.2%		25.3%
+425
-125
+410
-130
1
2		-0.61360-0.61648-0.67033
Mallorca
Valencia		23.9%
49.8%		26.3%
+350
+103
+330
+100
0
1		-0.73031-0.73722-0.69728
Osasuna
Athletic Club		12.9%
66.5%		20.5%
+641
-193
+675
-215
0
0		-1.50229-1.51077-1.58421
Girona
Barcelona		6.7%
80.0%		13.3%
+900
-333
+900
-365
1
4		-0.28640-0.27796-0.22374
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.