Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+118
+237
+115
+257
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+102
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+115
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Girona
Espanyol		39.2%
32.6%		28.2%
+132
+255
+135
+239
1
1		-1.18368-1.17361-1.26567
Sevilla
Real Sociedad		21.2%
53.4%		25.4%
+228
+148
+235
+140
1
0		-1.22319-1.25110-1.54966
Las Palmas
Betis		18.7%
58.2%		23.1%
+910
-295
+900
-300
0
1		-0.32247-0.32563-0.54153
Mallorca
Athletic Club		12.6%
66.6%		20.8%
+478
-138
+471
-135
1
1		-1.30092-1.28750-1.57219
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid		5.9%
81.7%		12.5%
+1000
-341
+1000
-375
1
2		-0.28228-0.28238-0.20245
Atletico Madrid
Getafe		52.8%
20.6%		26.6%
-114
+415
-118
+405
1
2		-1.67121-1.66532-1.57886
Valladolid
Valencia		15.0%
64.2%		20.8%
+775
-232
+825
-260
1
2		-0.37958-0.36980-0.44357
Villarreal
Alaves		33.3%
38.3%		28.4%
+153
+212
+155
+200
0
1		-1.16571-1.14069-0.96001
Leganes
Celta Vigo		10.8%
70.5%		18.7%
+559
-175
+555
-185
1
2		-0.48293-0.48263-0.34937
Valencia
Osasuna		27.5%
45.4%		27.1%
+275
+123
+260
+120
3
3		-1.25358-1.21790-1.30708
Alaves
Mallorca		29.1%
41.4%		29.5%
+263
+147
+250
+145
1
1		-1.08957-1.07937-1.22078
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		10.8%
71.5%		17.7%
+1100
-356
+1100
-385
0
4		-0.26528-0.27379-0.33570
Getafe
Leganes		40.3%
28.9%		30.8%
+190
+213
+187
+205
0
1		-1.16861-1.15429-1.24126
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid		19.3%
55.9%		24.8%
+274
+115
+295
+110
0
1		-0.80038-0.76942-0.58186
Real Madrid
Betis		59.7%
18.3%		22.0%
-105
+305
-110
+282
1
2		-1.41741-1.38786-1.70062
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano		29.0%
42.8%		28.2%
+215
+158
+220
+150
1
1		-1.14977-1.16587-1.26642
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.