Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+117
+237
+115
+257
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+102
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+115
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Celta Vigo
Girona		28.0%
45.3%		26.7%
+263
+119
+260
+115
2
2		-1.24754-1.24953-1.32111
Las Palmas
Valladolid		31.5%
39.5%		29.0%
+157
+208
+152
+215
1
1		-1.18039-1.17866-1.21285
Mallorca
Sevilla		20.0%
54.8%		25.3%
+350
-103
+335
+100
1
1		-1.23667-1.21554-1.37555
Leganes
Real Sociedad		10.0%
71.4%		18.6%
+552
-157
+600
-170
0
3		-0.51988-0.50104-0.33742
Betis
Getafe		34.4%
36.0%		29.6%
+181
+197
+180
+200
2
1		-1.06424-1.05866-1.06828
Girona
Real Madrid		6.7%
79.9%		13.4%
+950
-348
+900
-380
0
2		-0.27929-0.27926-0.22396
Valladolid
Athletic Club		9.6%
73.0%		17.4%
+1613
-515
+1500
-520
1
7		-0.21248-0.21428-0.31526
Barcelona
Las Palmas		67.5%
12.9%		19.6%
-419
+1050
-430
+1025
2
0		-0.24573-0.25126-0.39361
Atletico Madrid
Valencia		56.6%
19.5%		23.9%
+106
+315
+110
+300
3
0		-0.75260-0.77525-0.56831
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano		39.0%
33.4%		27.6%
+167
+180
+155
+180
1
0		-1.01355-0.98449-0.94133
Espanyol
Alaves		16.2%
61.1%		22.7%
+435
-113
+440
-120
1
0		-1.70468-1.72862-1.82102
Osasuna
Celta Vigo		22.1%
53.0%		24.9%
+432
-138
+425
-140
0
1		-0.57551-0.57868-0.63573
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		6.5%
80.3%		13.2%
+1250
-465
+1200
-510
0
1		-0.22474-0.22432-0.21992
Real Sociedad
Betis		30.9%
41.4%		27.6%
+240
+145
+225
+140
0
3		-0.91367-0.91644-0.88177
Las Palmas
Mallorca		21.1%
52.9%		26.0%
+425
-121
+425
-120
1
3		-0.62581-0.62755-0.63595
Sevilla
Valladolid		42.4%
29.4%		28.2%
+100
+328
-105
+310
4
0		-0.72054-0.71803-0.85821
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.