Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+117
+237
+115
+257
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+102
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+110
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Espanyol		52.0%
22.4%		25.6%
-125
+423
-130
+435
1
1		-1.29704-1.30019-1.36312
Valencia
Villarreal		15.8%
63.8%		20.4%
+418
-141
+410
-145
1
1		-1.40834-1.41399-1.59130
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid		11.7%
69.7%		18.6%
+790
-245
+775
-263
1
1		-1.63168-1.63122-1.67948
Real Madrid
Osasuna		65.1%
14.4%		20.5%
-215
+585
-225
+560
1
1		-1.62136-1.64424-1.58353
Alaves
Leganes		39.8%
29.8%		30.4%
+130
+283
+130
+285
3
3		-1.12741-1.10331-1.19007
Getafe
Girona		20.7%
53.3%		26.0%
+380
-102
+335
+100
2
1		-1.59795-1.50706-1.57518
Osasuna
Mallorca		27.6%
44.2%		28.2%
+270
+129
+260
+130
1
1		-1.14939-1.15477-1.26603
Barcelona
Sevilla		58.8%
18.3%		22.9%
-219
+565
-230
+625
4
1		-0.40491-0.38607-0.53161
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		11.1%
70.7%		18.3%
+521
-150
+525
-160
1
2		-0.54165-0.53368-0.34715
Leganes
Valencia		14.0%
64.7%		21.4%
+462
-126
+440
-128
0
2		-0.60927-0.62144-0.43590
Getafe
Alaves		21.1%
51.6%		27.3%
+307
+133
+300
+130
1
0		-1.43393-1.42134-1.55519
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid		17.5%
59.8%		22.7%
+273
-101
+300
-105
1
1		-1.37015-1.36004-1.48444
Villarreal
Las Palmas		38.4%
33.5%		28.1%
-157
+450
-170
+460
2
1		-0.52209-0.51061-0.95638
Girona
Athletic Club		17.1%
59.7%		23.1%
+407
-132
+400
-140
0
3		-0.59696-0.58780-0.51527
Betis
Celta Vigo		27.3%
46.8%		25.9%
+272
+115
+265
+110
2
3		-0.79314-0.78946-0.76027
Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano		19.4%
56.8%		23.7%
+794
-235
+770
-240
0
1		-0.38482-0.39285-0.56491
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.