Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+117
+237
+115
+257
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2¾+101
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+110
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Las Palmas
Girona		17.7%
59.0%		23.3%
+575
-200
+570
-205
1
2		-0.43948-0.43998-0.52753
Athletic Club
Betis		33.6%
37.9%		28.5%
+138
+220
+140
+218
2
2		-1.22902-1.20587-1.25456
Real Sociedad
Osasuna		36.0%
34.5%		29.5%
+152
+220
+155
+215
1
2		-1.19660-1.18945-1.06531
Celta Vigo
Valencia		30.2%
42.8%		27.0%
+267
+125
+263
+125
1
2		-0.84474-0.85257-0.84938
Alaves
Barcelona		8.2%
76.1%		15.7%
+1775
-608
+1500
-594
0
1		-0.17520-0.19445-0.27375
Real Madrid
Espanyol		75.1%
9.0%		15.8%
-318
+930
-345
+915
0
1		-2.35367-2.35852-2.40395
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid		8.9%
73.9%		17.2%
+677
-198
+740
-213
0
2		-0.43419-0.42188-0.30281
Valladolid
Villarreal		14.0%
66.5%		19.5%
+1350
-475
+1400
-530
1
5		-0.21905-0.21503-0.40783
Sevilla
Getafe		29.2%
41.0%		29.8%
+212
+173
+210
+170
0
0		-1.08895-1.09020-1.21033
Rayo Vallecano
Leganes		37.5%
32.4%		30.0%
+144
+245
+155
+220
1
0		-0.91919-0.96399-0.97952
Celta Vigo
Alaves		28.3%
43.7%		27.9%
+253
+135
+233
+140
1
1		-1.17335-1.18123-1.27669
Valencia
Barcelona		7.5%
78.3%		14.1%
+1200
-415
+1175
-460
1
7		-0.24117-0.24154-0.24400
Leganes
Athletic Club		8.0%
75.1%		16.9%
+990
-265
+1000
-300
0
0		-1.59440-1.63327-1.77874
Getafe
Real Sociedad		15.0%
62.0%		23.0%
+443
-106
+470
-110
3
0		-1.72350-1.77797-1.89585
Girona
Rayo Vallecano		31.4%
40.5%		28.1%
+212
+157
+220
+155
1
2		-0.97559-0.96811-0.90352
Real Madrid
Valladolid		75.5%
8.8%		15.7%
-427
+1275
-450
+1225
3
0		-0.23592-0.24163-0.28166
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58807 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61639 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.42575
0.16232
0.19064

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.