Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+134
+205
+125
+205
1.66
1.07		2.73
o2½-114
u2¾-118
o2½-120
u2½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca		54.1%
20.4%		25.5%
+142
+252
+140
+240
1
0		-0.91394-0.91864-0.61443
Celta Vigo
Betis		27.3%
46.8%		25.9%
+268
+119
+280
+100
2
2		-1.23546-1.30048-1.35008
Sevilla
Leganes		46.9%
25.0%		28.1%
+170
+212
+180
+196
0
1		-1.15642-1.12421-1.38533
Alaves
Villarreal		23.7%
50.8%		25.6%
+522
-169
+525
-180
0
3		-0.49720-0.48472-0.67788
Osasuna
Real Madrid		4.5%
84.9%		10.6%
+1150
-360
+1075
-415
0
4		-0.26261-0.26199-0.16413
Las Palmas
Rayo Vallecano		24.0%
49.4%		26.6%
+375
-113
+365
-115
3
1		-1.58777-1.57998-1.42537
Getafe
Celta Vigo		21.1%
53.2%		25.7%
+333
+113
+305
+115
0
1		-0.78301-0.79452-0.63087
Betis
Athletic Club		14.8%
64.3%		20.9%
+343
-110
+335
-115
1
1		-1.31796-1.30203-1.56509
Real Sociedad
Sevilla		27.6%
44.5%		27.9%
+138
+240
+135
+235
2
0		-0.89353-0.89509-1.28656
Espanyol
Barcelona		5.6%
82.5%		11.9%
+1800
-621
+1900
-700
1
3		-0.16314-0.15822-0.19196
Las Palmas
Atletico Madrid		7.0%
78.1%		14.9%
+900
-284
+1050
-373
0
2		-0.31965-0.28020-0.24668
Leganes
Girona		12.7%
66.6%		20.7%
+515
-142
+515
-150
3
4		-0.55916-0.55042-0.40693
Valladolid
Osasuna		20.8%
54.4%		24.8%
+475
-143
+490
-160
0
1		-0.55886-0.53577-0.60925
Mallorca
Alaves		22.5%
50.4%		27.1%
+275
+136
+250
+145
0
1		-0.88540-0.92294-0.68470
Athletic Club
Mallorca		43.2%
27.9%		28.8%
+225
+156
+215
+161
0
0		-1.14100-1.13199-1.24417
Osasuna
Real Sociedad		16.5%
60.8%		22.7%
+522
-152
+515
-150
2
0		-1.85119-1.84187-1.80229
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.