Valencia at Villarreal

Updated

Valencia

15.8%20.4%63.8%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.91Projected Goals 2.06
1Final Score 1

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Leganes-128
W 1-2 vs Celta Vigo+125
L 1-7 at Barcelona+1175
W 0-1 vs Real Sociedad+205
T 1-1 at Sevilla+290
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-1 at Las Palmas-170
W 1-5 vs Valladolid-530
T 1-1 at Atletico Madrid+320
W 0-4 vs Mallorca-145
L 0-1 at Real Sociedad+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+520+403+380+418+392+418+418+436.2
Villarreal-189-141-145-144-145-144-141-132.6
Draw+344+291+295+297+292+297+297+310.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+500-+382-+410+400+410+436.2
Villarreal-190--145--200-145-145-132.6
Draw+340-+295-+280+285+295+310.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +390 to +380
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +450 to +382
Villarreal ML moved from -225 to -235

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+111o2½-125o2¾+100o2½-122o2½-122o2½-122o2½-122o2½-111
Underu3-131u2½+106u2¾-120u2½+102u2½+100u2½+102u2¾-120u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-125o2½-120-o2½-125o2½-125o2½-120o2½-111
Underu2½+120u2½+105u2½+100-u2½-105u2½+105u2½+105u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.2%
 
No47.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.13%
Exactly 222.63%
Exactly 416.63%
Exactly 64.89%
Exactly 80.77%
 
Exactly 115.25%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.87%
Exactly 72.07%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 040.12%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.73%
Exactly 35.10%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 012.80%
Exactly 126.31%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.53%
Exactly 49.52%
Exactly 53.92%
Exactly 61.34%
Exactly 70.39%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.29%
Exactly 223.90%
Exactly 43.76%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 310.95%
Exactly 51.03%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 065.51%
Exactly 127.71%
Exactly 25.86%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 038.60%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.49%
Exactly 35.55%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals5.08%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals39.67%
Wins by 3+ goals20.22%
Wins by 4+ goals8.57%
Wins by 5+ goals3.07%
Wins by 6+ goals0.94%
Wins by 7+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal10.71%
Wins by 2 goals3.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals19.45%
Wins by 3 goals11.65%
Wins by 4 goals5.50%
Wins by 5 goals2.13%
Wins by 6 goals0.70%
Wins by 7 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.87%5.13%
1.579.62%20.38%
2.556.99%43.01%
3.534.59%65.41%
4.517.96%82.04%
5.58.08%91.92%
6.53.20%96.80%
7.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.88%40.12%
1.523.24%76.76%
2.56.51%93.49%
3.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.20%12.80%
1.560.89%39.11%
2.533.84%66.16%
3.515.31%84.69%
4.55.78%94.22%
5.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.71%25.29%
1.539.94%60.06%
2.516.04%83.96%
3.55.09%94.91%
4.51.33%98.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Villarreal
Score012345
0
5.13%
10.56%
10.85%
7.43%
3.82%
1.57%
1
4.69%
9.64%
9.91%
6.79%
3.49%
1.43%
2
2.14%
4.40%
4.53%
3.10%
1.59%
0.66%
3
0.65%
1.34%
1.38%
0.94%
0.49%
0.20%
4
0.15%
0.31%
0.31%
0.22%
0.11%
0.05%
Valencia
1-04.69%
2-02.14%
2-14.40%
3-00.65%
3-11.34%
3-21.38%
4-00.15%
4-10.31%
4-20.31%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-05.13%
1-19.64%
2-24.53%
3-30.94%
4-40.11%
Villarreal
0-110.56%
0-210.85%
1-29.91%
0-37.43%
1-36.79%
2-33.10%
0-43.82%
1-43.49%
2-41.59%
3-40.49%
0-51.57%
1-51.43%
2-50.66%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Villarreal
Score012345
0
25.29%
24.07%
11.46%
3.63%
0.86%
0.16%
1
10.70%
10.18%
4.84%
1.54%
0.37%
0.07%
2
2.26%
2.15%
1.02%
0.33%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.32%
0.30%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-010.70%
2-02.26%
2-12.15%
3-00.32%
3-10.30%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-025.29%
1-110.18%
2-21.02%
Villarreal
0-124.07%
0-211.46%
1-24.84%
0-33.63%
1-31.54%
2-30.33%
0-40.86%
1-40.37%
0-50.16%