Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Mallorca
Osasuna 		22.6%
50.1%		27.3%
+410
-131
+400
-130
0.84
1.41		2.25
o2¼-103
u2¼-109
o2-140
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Girona
Levante 		35.7%
36.7%		27.6%
+150
+188
+150
+182
1.19
1.22		2.41
o2½-104
u2½-115
o2½-105
u2½-115
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid 		11.9%
68.4%		19.7%
+445
-152
+475
-160
0.71
2.03		2.74
o2½-118
u2½+105
o2½-120
u2½+100
Barcelona
Athletic Club 		58.5%
17.1%		24.4%
-154
+375
-165
+385
1.64
0.76		2.40
o3-122
u3¼-123
o3-125
u3+120
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 		51.0%
24.6%		24.4%
+156
+223
+140
+206
2.73
o2½-104
u2½-106
o2½+105
u2½-115
TIME
HALF		1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Osasuna
Girona		17.2%
59.8%		23.0%
+435
-141
+385
-135
0
4		-0.55180-0.59720-0.51420
Espanyol
Atletico Madrid		7.2%
78.0%		14.8%
+1300
-365
+1300
-397
0
0		-1.79342-1.81388-1.91257
Alaves
Real Sociedad		14.3%
64.1%		21.6%
+576
-163
+577
-175
2
1		-1.93808-1.95411-1.94428
Valencia
Athletic Club		16.8%
60.6%		22.6%
+440
-135
+455
-140
0
1		-0.58030-0.56874-0.50074
Leganes
Valladolid		19.0%
56.1%		24.9%
+310
+123
+283
+120
0
0		-1.13513-1.14646-1.38942
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano		65.5%
14.2%		20.3%
-145
+426
-150
+456
2
1		-0.53892-0.54025-0.42269
Sevilla
Mallorca		36.3%
33.4%		30.3%
+246
+133
+245
+130
0
0		-1.20424-1.18420-1.19534
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		21.8%
54.5%		23.7%
+412
-148
+375
-135
3
4		-0.54056-0.58281-0.60737
Girona
Atletico Madrid		12.5%
67.3%		20.2%
+600
-197
+555
-214
0
3		-0.42928-0.42717-0.39666
Betis
Alaves		30.2%
41.9%		27.8%
+242
+145
+230
+140
0
0		-1.14319-1.17283-1.27941
Las Palmas
Leganes		32.6%
36.7%		30.7%
+248
+146
+257
+135
1
2		-0.92700-0.89698-1.00218
Valladolid
Real Madrid		4.1%
85.9%		10.0%
+2100
-625
+1900
-835
0
3		-0.16112-0.16030-0.15241
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe		22.4%
50.5%		27.1%
+230
+170
+225
+165
0
0		-1.06204-1.07093-1.30682
Real Sociedad
Espanyol		45.6%
27.4%		27.0%
+120
+294
+115
+290
1
0		-0.80910-0.81164-0.78555
Athletic Club
Barcelona		14.9%
63.8%		21.3%
+475
-160
+440
-170
1
2		-0.50713-0.50994-0.44898
Mallorca
Osasuna		24.7%
48.0%		27.3%
+245
+143
+235
+145
0
1		-0.90167-0.93425-0.73395
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.