Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Barcelona
Athletic Club 		58.5%
17.1%		24.4%
-147
+382
-155
+375
1.64
0.76		2.40
o3-118
u3¼-118
o3-120
u3+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid 		11.9%
68.4%		19.7%
+452
-147
+475
-155
2.74
o2¾-105
u2¾-105
o2½-130
u2½+110
1st H
26:00		1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alaves
Betis		12.8%
67.6%		19.6%
+236
+144
+235
+135
0
0		-1.17639-1.17697-1.63087
Real Sociedad
Mallorca		48.0%
24.8%		27.2%
+142
+289
+150
+263
2
1		-0.90473-0.95852-0.73353
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		72.3%
10.3%		17.4%
-146
+465
-150
+450
1
1		-1.40846-1.42520-1.75106
Sevilla
Valencia		27.1%
45.7%		27.2%
+257
+131
+245
+127
0
0		-1.18833-1.19412-1.30217
Barcelona
Celta Vigo		59.6%
18.1%		22.4%
-102
+295
-103
+280
2
1		-0.70233-0.71164-0.51819
Cadiz
Osasuna		16.0%
61.0%		23.1%
+444
-119
+425
-120
0
2		-0.63104-0.63575-0.49508
Las Palmas
Atletico Madrid		6.3%
79.4%		14.3%
+685
-207
+670
-210
0
5		-0.41773-0.42647-0.23100
Getafe
Villarreal		20.7%
54.5%		24.8%
+275
+108
+290
+100
1
1		-1.29157-1.30435-1.39276
Athletic Club
Almeria		49.1%
24.5%		26.4%
-120
+389
-125
+400
0
0		-1.34611-1.33382-1.33275
Granada
Barcelona		6.1%
81.5%		12.4%
+1500
-515
+1250
-553
3
3		-2.13116-2.12436-2.08844
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla		45.6%
26.3%		28.0%
+105
+293
+102
+275
0
1		-1.38850-1.36422-1.33420
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca		30.1%
40.9%		29.0%
+259
+156
+260
+147
1
2		-0.95985-0.94946-0.89404
Celta Vigo
Getafe		27.5%
44.2%		28.3%
+288
+121
+265
+120
2
3		-0.82128-0.83729-0.81701
Valencia
Las Palmas		40.0%
31.4%		28.6%
+222
+162
+210
+160
0
2		-0.98843-1.00286-1.15957
Girona
Real Madrid		4.8%
83.9%		11.2%
+580
-227
+555
-235
0
4		-0.38463-0.39650-0.17523
Osasuna
Real Sociedad		16.5%
61.0%		22.5%
+529
-131
+460
-130
1
0		-1.86156-1.76422-1.80260
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.15604 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.15840 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.08707
0.06896
0.07132

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.