Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Barcelona
Athletic Club 		58.5%
17.1%		24.4%
-145
+382
-155
+375
1.64
0.76		2.40
o3-118
u3¼-122
o3-120
u3+110
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid 		11.9%
68.4%		19.7%
+452
-147
+475
-155
2.74
o2¾-105
u2¾-105
o2½-130
u2½+110
2nd H
90:00		2
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Alaves		37.6%
33.8%		28.6%
+250
+124
+238
+120
1
1		-1.27047-1.25671-1.25274
Betis
Cadiz		51.4%
22.9%		25.7%
+163
+217
+160
+215
2
0		-0.99026-0.99574-0.66551
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano		34.8%
35.4%		29.8%
+290
+116
+275
+115
2
1		-1.37868-1.36230-1.05573
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid		15.3%
62.8%		21.9%
+409
-145
+400
-145
1
1		-1.47929-1.45171-1.51996
Getafe
Betis		16.2%
61.1%		22.7%
+342
+104
+320
-103
1
1		-1.21106-1.24129-1.48395
Celta Vigo
Osasuna		26.3%
47.0%		26.7%
+298
+121
+290
+115
3
0		-1.39934-1.40817-1.33382
Cadiz
Villarreal		13.0%
67.3%		19.6%
+495
-158
+466
-165
0
0		-1.45350-1.45329-1.62806
Real Sociedad
Girona		40.1%
31.3%		28.6%
+310
+104
+280
+105
0
0		-1.27239-1.27837-1.25229
Barcelona
Alaves		66.4%
13.3%		20.3%
-108
+343
-107
+300
3
1		-0.67417-0.70360-0.40953
Las Palmas
Granada		21.4%
53.7%		24.9%
+265
+117
+270
+116
1
1		-1.25229-1.22953-1.38862
Almeria
Valencia		15.6%
63.4%		21.0%
+435
-140
+430
-145
1
2		-0.56921-0.56727-0.45550
Mallorca
Athletic Club		10.9%
69.6%		19.5%
+730
-188
+612
-190
0
4		-0.44829-0.47358-0.36253
Real Madrid
Getafe		68.1%
11.9%		20.0%
-169
+546
-177
+560
2
0		-0.49258-0.48170-0.38412
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid		7.9%
76.2%		15.9%
+545
-157
+550
-160
1
2		-0.50864-0.50456-0.27181
Osasuna
Barcelona		7.5%
78.0%		14.5%
+785
-278
+730
-290
0
1		-0.33087-0.33651-0.24873
Granada
Getafe		23.2%
50.1%		26.7%
+405
-114
+390
-125
0
2		-0.64449-0.62982-0.69133
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.15604 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.15840 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.08707
0.06896
0.07132

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.