Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano 		14.1%
65.3%		20.5%
+445
-139
+440
-150
0.80
2.00		2.80
o2¼-110
u2¼-102
o2½+115
u2½-135
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Girona
Oviedo		35.8%
34.4%		29.8%
+182
+190
+180
+190
0
1		-1.09374-1.10485-1.06749
Alaves
Espanyol		25.4%
46.4%		28.2%
+390
+102
+375
+100
2
1		-1.60370-1.59273-1.37180
Getafe
Girona		21.7%
51.9%		26.4%
+310
+127
+315
+115
1
1		-1.10721-1.13725-1.33044
Betis
Alaves		35.9%
34.8%		29.3%
+200
+174
+203
+161
1
2		-1.03803-1.00166-1.05598
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad		24.5%
49.6%		25.9%
+272
+119
+265
+112
1
3		-0.81198-0.79465-0.70096
Oviedo
Barcelona		3.2%
88.0%		8.8%
+1850
-825
+1875
-845
0
3		-0.14914-0.14898-0.12753
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid		8.6%
74.5%		16.8%
+1000
-283
+950
-265
0
3		-0.32091-0.31533-0.29405
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.2%
25.9%		24.9%
-112
+300
-115
+286
2
0		-0.65660-0.66577-0.70960
Athletic Club
Sevilla		43.0%
29.4%		27.6%
+208
+169
+200
+165
1
2		-1.01780-1.00931-1.22567
Espanyol
Valencia		29.0%
44.8%		26.2%
+225
+147
+221
+145
2
3		-0.93184-0.92685-0.80312
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano		20.8%
55.2%		24.0%
+275
+128
+290
+120
3
1		-1.34719-1.38902-1.57079
Sevilla
Elche		27.1%
44.8%		28.1%
+235
+147
+225
+140
2
2		-1.15703-1.18836-1.27086
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		62.3%
16.1%		21.6%
-152
+410
-155
+400
1
2		-1.65047-1.63671-1.82716
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo		26.3%
46.6%		27.1%
+385
-112
+350
-110
0
3		-0.65258-0.68599-0.76436
Alaves
Atletico Madrid		9.6%
72.4%		18.0%
+910
-285
+820
-275
0
1		-0.32832-0.35133-0.32307
Valencia
Getafe		30.6%
40.2%		29.3%
+262
+156
+257
+170
1
0		-1.31524-1.28790-1.18479
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.