Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Villarreal 		14.1%
65.9%		20.0%
+545
-205
+535
-210
0.83
2.06		2.89
o3-103
u3-109
o3-105
u3-115
Betis
Getafe 		36.8%
34.8%		28.4%
+183
+193
+185
+190
1.17
1.13		2.30
o2+109
u2-123
o2+105
u2-125
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 		32.3%
38.6%		29.1%
+206
+156
+200
+150
1.03
1.16		2.19
o2¼+101
u2¼-114
o2-145
u2+125
Alaves
Valencia 		28.8%
43.1%		28.1%
+320
+112
+315
+105
1.00
1.29		2.29
o2-118
u2+105
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Barcelona
Athletic Club 		58.5%
17.1%		24.4%
-156
+410
-155
+375
2.40
o3-114
u3+104
o3-120
u3+110
2nd H
51:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Granada
Getafe		23.2%
50.1%		26.7%
+405
-114
+390
-125
0
2		-0.64449-0.62982-0.69133
Valencia
Atletico Madrid		11.4%
69.7%		18.8%
+553
-168
+545
-183
0
2		-0.48607-0.47773-0.36057
Osasuna
Sevilla		21.5%
52.8%		25.7%
+296
+112
+288
+115
1
1		-1.23984-1.20875-1.35895
Athletic Club
Cadiz		52.1%
21.3%		26.6%
-114
+410
-108
+395
0
0		-1.24643-1.23901-1.32565
Girona
Celta Vigo		23.8%
50.5%		25.7%
+155
+187
+160
+175
1
0		-0.95813-0.99290-1.43435
Betis
Mallorca		47.4%
26.0%		26.6%
+273
+125
+280
+125
1
0		-1.34596-1.36473-0.74760
Villarreal
Barcelona		9.1%
75.8%		15.2%
+667
-265
+560
-250
5
3		-2.06570-1.93199-2.40174
Real Madrid
Las Palmas		73.8%
9.3%		16.8%
-215
+635
-225
+610
2
1		-0.40849-0.40837-0.30345
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad		13.6%
66.0%		20.4%
+478
-122
+522
-150
0
0		-1.24653-1.30236-1.59067
Alaves
Almeria		27.8%
44.3%		27.9%
+184
+187
+175
+179
3
0		-1.06068-1.05527-1.28035
Atletico Madrid
Granada		58.0%
18.4%		23.5%
-146
+437
-164
+450
1
0		-0.53662-0.51748-0.54435
Sevilla
Girona		32.7%
37.9%		29.3%
+337
-123
+345
-125
1
5		-0.62373-0.62965-0.96898
Barcelona
Betis		47.3%
27.1%		25.6%
-114
+311
-120
+305
4
2		-0.65187-0.64466-0.74858
Almeria
Real Madrid		4.1%
86.0%		9.8%
+2250
-794
+2000
-800
2
3		-0.15083-0.15870-0.15032
Getafe
Osasuna		24.3%
47.6%		28.1%
+263
+142
+258
+140
2
3		-0.91108-0.91549-0.74198
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo		37.4%
33.9%		28.7%
+239
+159
+230
+195
1
0		-1.23622-1.17474-0.98296
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.02424 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.02824 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-0.98925
0.03500
0.03899

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.