Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Villarreal 		14.1%
65.9%		20.0%
+545
-205
+535
-210
0.83
2.06		2.89
o3-104
u3-109
o3-105
u3-115
Betis
Getafe 		36.8%
34.8%		28.4%
+182
+191
+185
+190
1.17
1.13		2.30
o2+108
u2-120
o2+105
u2-125
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 		32.3%
38.6%		29.1%
+206
+156
+200
+150
1.03
1.16		2.19
o2¼+101
u2¼-114
o2-145
u2+125
Alaves
Valencia 		28.8%
43.1%		28.1%
+320
+112
+315
+105
1.00
1.29		2.29
o2-118
u2+105
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo		37.4%
33.9%		28.7%
+239
+159
+230
+195
1
0		-1.23622-1.17474-0.98296
Athletic Club
Valencia		33.8%
36.9%		29.2%
+125
+253
+122
+250
0
1		-1.29248-1.29569-0.99569
Mallorca
Villarreal		15.1%
64.0%		20.9%
+267
+115
+265
+111
1
1		-1.26546-1.25432-1.56633
Las Palmas
Rayo Vallecano		21.2%
53.4%		25.4%
+460
-135
+417
-110
2
0		-1.74583-1.65417-1.55070
Cadiz
Alaves		23.9%
48.1%		28.0%
+585
-155
+540
-145
0
1		-0.52238-0.55387-0.73135
Valencia
Cadiz		41.6%
29.9%		28.5%
+175
+219
+170
+208
4
1		-1.03330-1.02123-0.87745
Girona
Almeria		29.2%
43.3%		27.5%
-102
+289
+100
+315
0
0		-1.36963-1.35837-1.29015
Granada
Betis		14.1%
66.3%		19.6%
+428
-136
+410
-138
0
1		-0.57300-0.58672-0.41124
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club		25.4%
47.4%		27.2%
+315
+113
+305
+110
1
2		-0.78169-0.77692-0.74752
Celta Vigo
Mallorca		36.8%
33.9%		29.3%
+262
+142
+230
+140
1
1		-1.13230-1.15031-1.22605
Villarreal
Las Palmas		55.2%
20.8%		24.0%
+173
+168
+170
+175
0
3		-1.01066-1.04358-1.57195
Alaves
Sevilla		11.1%
69.5%		19.4%
+325
+107
+335
+102
3
2		-1.46283-1.49335-2.19823
Barcelona
Las Palmas		69.6%
11.6%		18.8%
-198
+545
-200
+550
2
1		-0.43624-0.43821-0.36248
Athletic Club
Sevilla		25.8%
46.3%		27.9%
+146
+211
+135
+213
2
0		-0.92637-0.90135-1.35437
Almeria
Osasuna		15.9%
62.4%		21.7%
+425
-136
+400
-145
0
1		-0.57407-0.56854-0.47092
Atletico Madrid
Girona		58.8%
17.6%		23.6%
+158
+168
+160
+162
3
4		-1.01217-1.00267-1.73795
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.89824 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90618 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.87616
0.02208
0.03002

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.