Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Villarreal 		14.1%
65.9%		20.0%
+545
-205
+535
-210
0.83
2.06		2.89
o3-104
u3-109
o3-105
u3-115
Betis
Getafe 		36.8%
34.8%		28.4%
+182
+191
+185
+190
1.17
1.13		2.30
o2+108
u2-120
o2+105
u2-125
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 		32.3%
38.6%		29.1%
+206
+156
+200
+150
1.03
1.16		2.19
o2¼+101
u2¼-114
o2-145
u2+125
Alaves
Valencia 		28.8%
43.1%		28.1%
+320
+112
+315
+105
1.00
1.29		2.29
o2-118
u2+105
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mallorca
Real Madrid		3.9%
85.8%		10.2%
+1300
-417
+1300
-475
0
1		-0.24077-0.23571-0.15288
Betis
Celta Vigo		36.5%
35.5%		28.0%
+258
+122
+255
+120
1
2		-0.82453-0.82519-1.03679
Villarreal
Valencia		35.8%
36.5%		27.7%
+246
+121
+245
+117
1
3		-0.82387-0.81855-1.00778
Alaves
Real Sociedad		11.3%
69.4%		19.3%
+725
-190
+725
-205
1
1		-1.40283-1.40956-1.64507
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe		28.6%
41.9%		29.4%
+255
+140
+240
+141
2
0		-1.29496-1.26528-1.25016
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid		18.1%
57.5%		24.4%
+525
-169
+450
-170
0
1		-0.48331-0.50830-0.55325
Real Madrid
Alaves		72.6%
9.8%		17.5%
-171
+520
-175
+490
1
0		-0.48448-0.49774-0.31968
Osasuna
Mallorca		40.3%
30.5%		29.2%
+308
+130
+305
+125
2
3		-0.85160-0.84648-1.18603
Girona
Betis		12.1%
69.4%		18.4%
+162
+173
+150
+170
1
1		-1.30634-1.32795-1.69027
Real Sociedad
Cadiz		47.6%
24.8%		27.5%
-147
+522
-155
+520
0
0		-1.32418-1.32674-1.29018
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		13.9%
66.9%		19.2%
+208
+143
+192
+140
2
3		-0.90877-0.92329-0.40203
Las Palmas
Athletic Club		10.5%
70.5%		18.9%
+800
-262
+800
-272
0
1		-0.35011-0.34534-0.34889
Almeria
Barcelona		5.0%
83.8%		11.1%
+1800
-618
+1450
-665
2
3		-0.17296-0.18706-0.17650
Sevilla
Granada		43.8%
28.6%		27.6%
+156
+209
+158
+192
3
0		-0.96545-0.98948-0.82661
Getafe
Atletico Madrid		10.2%
70.4%		19.4%
+690
-209
+750
-210
3
3		-1.54623-1.53842-1.63887
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		30.4%
41.8%		27.8%
+260
+131
+255
+125
1
0		-1.29913-1.31449-1.18974
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.89824 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90618 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.87616
0.02208
0.03002

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.