Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Villarreal 		14.1%
65.9%		20.0%
+545
-189
+535
-210
0.83
2.06		2.89
o3-104
u3-109
o3-105
u3-115
Betis
Getafe 		36.8%
34.8%		28.4%
+182
+191
+185
+190
1.17
1.13		2.30
o2+108
u2-120
o2+105
u2-125
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 		32.3%
38.6%		29.1%
+206
+156
+200
+150
1.03
1.16		2.19
o2¼+101
u2¼-114
o2-145
u2+125
Alaves
Valencia 		28.8%
43.1%		28.1%
+320
+112
+315
+105
1.00
1.29		2.29
o2-118
u2+105
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alaves
Girona		25.3%
47.4%		27.3%
+512
-158
+450
-164
0
3		-0.50418-0.51639-0.74718
Villarreal
Real Madrid		12.1%
70.1%		17.8%
+1075
-423
+1400
-460
1
4		-0.24541-0.20972-0.35550
Cadiz
Las Palmas		26.5%
44.7%		28.8%
+336
+101
+339
+100
1
1		-1.23615-1.20267-1.24431
Betis
Real Sociedad		25.1%
49.2%		25.6%
+525
-166
+540
-185
0
0		-1.45337-1.44970-1.36109
Mallorca
Almeria		24.3%
49.3%		26.4%
+250
+138
+234
+140
0
0		-1.18136-1.16931-1.33150
Barcelona
Valencia		52.2%
23.1%		24.7%
-180
+530
-170
+475
1
1		-1.53456-1.51195-1.39853
Getafe
Sevilla		15.1%
61.5%		23.3%
+415
-121
+400
-125
3
0		-1.66210-1.65795-1.88750
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club		34.3%
35.0%		30.7%
+192
+156
+190
+148
0
2		-0.96685-0.94546-1.04839
Granada
Celta Vigo		21.8%
53.8%		24.3%
+445
-142
+431
-150
0
1		-0.56136-0.55147-0.61958
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna		24.4%
49.2%		26.4%
+261
+125
+286
+120
0
1		-0.83965-0.81423-0.70850
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano		24.7%
49.2%		26.0%
+180
+174
+170
+170
0
0		-1.20587-1.23032-1.34538
Girona
Barcelona		5.3%
83.1%		11.7%
+550
-211
+500
-220
4
2		-1.89253-1.84074-2.94352
Osasuna
Cadiz		37.8%
32.1%		30.1%
+183
+185
+175
+185
1
1		-1.16232-1.14536-1.20221
Almeria
Atletico Madrid		7.2%
78.2%		14.6%
+1400
-471
+1450
-600
1
2		-0.20893-0.20127-0.24550
Sevilla
Mallorca		50.5%
22.7%		26.8%
+214
+164
+210
+155
0
1		-0.99455-0.97782-1.48135
Real Sociedad
Villarreal		22.5%
53.2%		24.2%
+120
+247
+120
+240
3
0		-0.81491-0.83034-1.48997
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.89824 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90618 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.87616
0.02208
0.03002

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.