Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Villarreal 		14.1%
65.9%		20.0%
+545
-196
+535
-210
0.83
2.06		2.89
o3-104
u3-109
o3-105
u3-110
Betis
Getafe 		36.8%
34.8%		28.4%
+185
+197
+185
+192
1.17
1.13		2.30
o2+106
u2-120
o2+105
u2-125
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 		32.3%
38.6%		29.1%
+194
+171
+200
+168
1.03
1.16		2.19
o2¼+103
u2¼-116
o2-145
u2+125
Alaves
Valencia 		28.8%
43.1%		28.1%
+302
+119
+315
+116
1.00
1.29		2.29
o2-115
u2+103
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club		16.3%
61.3%		22.4%
+402
-145
+425
-150
3
4		-0.55886-0.55050-0.49001
Cadiz
Getafe		19.5%
53.7%		26.8%
+350
+102
+375
+103
0
1		-0.73725-0.72842-0.62247
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid		6.5%
80.0%		13.5%
+1275
-428
+1200
-475
0
0		-2.00211-1.97206-2.00359
Athletic Club
Villarreal		23.0%
52.0%		25.0%
-102
+290
+110
+270
3
2		-0.69963-0.74678-1.47159
Granada
Valencia		17.0%
61.1%		21.8%
+460
-156
+435
-167
0
1		-0.52103-0.51584-0.49235
Almeria
Alaves		25.7%
47.1%		27.1%
+435
-137
+425
-125
0
1		-0.57249-0.60396-0.75243
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		45.2%
28.0%		26.8%
+125
+245
+125
+233
1
0		-0.84323-0.84905-0.79452
Sevilla
Celta Vigo		37.9%
33.3%		28.9%
+207
+145
+205
+135
1
1		-1.25558-1.27022-1.24264
Mallorca
Betis		10.7%
71.3%		17.9%
+380
-110
+390
-120
0
2		-0.66840-0.64804-0.33774
Girona
Osasuna		16.5%
60.9%		22.5%
+156
+191
+145
+195
4
2		-0.97225-0.93652-1.79963
Atletico Madrid
Las Palmas		60.2%
16.3%		23.4%
-143
+465
-140
+450
1
2		-1.76329-1.73955-1.81247
Villarreal
Granada		49.4%
25.6%		25.0%
+135
+202
+130
+200
3
2		-0.88460-0.88075-0.70583
Alaves
Atletico Madrid		7.4%
76.8%		15.8%
+714
-225
+775
-240
1
2		-0.39748-0.37856-0.26356
Valencia
Athletic Club		20.9%
54.3%		24.9%
+520
-160
+480
-160
2
2		-1.41260-1.40421-1.39147
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		35.5%
35.2%		29.4%
+137
+241
+135
+235
2
2		-1.18610-1.18807-1.22513
Osasuna
Betis		20.1%
56.3%		23.6%
+315
+100
+313
+100
1
2		-0.72350-0.72875-0.57380
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.89824 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90618 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.87616
0.02208
0.03002

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.