Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Villarreal 		14.1%
65.9%		20.0%
+560
-204
+535
-210
0.83
2.06		2.89
o3-104
u3-108
o3-105
u3-110
Betis
Getafe 		36.8%
34.8%		28.4%
+185
+197
+185
+192
1.17
1.13		2.30
o2+106
u2-120
o2+105
u2-125
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 		32.3%
38.6%		29.1%
+190
+172
+200
+168
1.03
1.16		2.19
o2¼+103
u2¼-116
o2-145
u2+125
Alaves
Valencia 		28.8%
43.1%		28.1%
+302
+120
+315
+116
1.00
1.29		2.29
o2-115
u2+103
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Cadiz		48.0%
24.3%		27.7%
+106
+290
+115
+275
2
2		-1.27165-1.23881-1.28479
Getafe
Mallorca		33.7%
34.6%		31.7%
+285
+130
+265
+132
0
0		-1.12609-1.13625-1.14952
Real Madrid
Barcelona		31.1%
41.6%		27.4%
+178
+160
+171
+160
2
1		-1.04971-1.03167-1.16890
Las Palmas
Almeria		25.2%
48.2%		26.6%
+235
+130
+210
+135
2
1		-1.23598-1.17361-1.37900
Celta Vigo
Girona		34.1%
37.2%		28.7%
+385
-139
+382
-145
0
1		-0.56754-0.56681-0.98935
Cadiz
Valencia		14.2%
64.6%		21.3%
+490
-138
+475
-140
0
2		-0.56442-0.57343-0.43745
Athletic Club
Barcelona		13.1%
67.0%		19.9%
+330
-116
+330
-118
0
1		-0.65193-0.65352-0.40016
Alaves
Villarreal		9.3%
74.4%		16.3%
+308
+105
+300
+105
1
1		-1.26086-1.29638-1.81401
Almeria
Girona		25.3%
48.6%		26.2%
+725
-256
+740
-252
2
5		-0.35493-0.35083-0.72239
Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas		37.2%
33.3%		29.4%
+208
+167
+185
+165
1
0		-1.15163-1.09198-0.98757
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo		49.3%
24.4%		26.4%
+116
+248
+118
+250
3
0		-0.80162-0.81303-0.70820
Real Madrid
Sevilla		50.2%
23.7%		26.0%
-136
+385
-135
+375
1
1		-1.43700-1.44872-1.34519
Betis
Getafe		37.8%
32.9%		29.3%
+236
+142
+220
+145
1
1		-1.17312-1.17151-1.22632
Mallorca
Real Sociedad		10.3%
71.4%		18.3%
+570
-154
+665
-165
0
1		-0.53317-0.46809-0.33729
Granada
Osasuna		19.1%
57.3%		23.5%
+443
-145
+405
-145
0
2		-0.55642-0.56664-0.55614
Barcelona
Granada		65.1%
14.7%		20.2%
-235
+601
-250
+610
2
2		-1.70002-1.69500-1.59702
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.89824 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90618 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.87616
0.02208
0.03002

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.