Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Villarreal 		14.1%
65.9%		20.0%
+580
-204
+535
-210
0.83
2.06		2.89
o3-104
u3-106
o3-105
u3-110
Betis
Getafe 		36.8%
34.8%		28.4%
+185
+197
+185
+192
1.17
1.13		2.30
o2+106
u2-118
o2+105
u2-125
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 		32.3%
38.6%		29.1%
+188
+171
+200
+168
1.03
1.16		2.19
o2¼+104
u2¼-114
o2-145
u2+125
Alaves
Valencia 		28.8%
43.1%		28.1%
+302
+122
+315
+116
1.00
1.29		2.29
o2-114
u2+103
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Getafe
Celta Vigo		24.2%
48.6%		27.2%
+340
+104
+335
+100
2
2		-1.21848-1.19369-1.30335
Betis
Alaves		46.9%
26.3%		26.7%
+199
+155
+190
+165
1
1		-1.21237-1.20811-1.31980
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid		17.7%
58.6%		23.6%
+315
+102
+340
+103
1
2		-0.73278-0.73068-0.53389
Las Palmas
Villarreal		8.8%
75.5%		15.7%
+435
-151
+456
-155
2
1		-1.70336-1.74669-2.43008
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla		17.4%
59.3%		23.3%
+355
-119
+335
-115
2
2		-1.34121-1.32463-1.45770
Valencia
Mallorca		44.0%
28.1%		27.8%
+235
+154
+230
+155
1
1		-1.12387-1.12676-1.27959
Osasuna
Real Madrid		7.1%
78.8%		14.2%
+1075
-361
+957
-345
0
4		-0.27589-0.29740-0.23884
Girona
Cadiz		26.6%
45.2%		28.2%
+127
+240
+128
+225
1
0		-0.84814-0.85967-1.32561
Almeria
Athletic Club		10.9%
70.8%		18.4%
+1000
-329
+900
-315
0
3		-0.28959-0.28851-0.34589
Celta Vigo
Las Palmas		35.7%
34.9%		29.4%
+168
+195
+165
+190
1
2		-1.11097-1.11152-1.05331
Cadiz
Atletico Madrid		7.3%
76.7%		16.0%
+910
-294
+950
-315
2
3		-0.32609-0.31949-0.26589
Valencia
Betis		22.4%
53.5%		24.0%
+300
+111
+285
+115
0
3		-0.76716-0.79297-0.62554
Osasuna
Alaves		37.7%
32.5%		29.8%
+225
+154
+220
+160
2
0		-1.20751-1.19313-0.97479
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		26.4%
46.0%		27.6%
+266
+128
+247
+130
0
3		-0.85600-0.87254-0.77631
Real Madrid
Girona		72.7%
10.1%		17.2%
-114
+300
-110
+275
3
0		-0.66196-0.68631-0.31843
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano		15.9%
61.5%		22.6%
+345
+103
+324
+105
2
2		-1.21409-1.17883-1.48824
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.89824 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90618 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.87616
0.02208
0.03002

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.