Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Real Madrid 		6.2%
80.8%		13.0%
+1450
-526
+1200
-525
0.60
2.65		3.25
o3½+103
u3½-116
o3½+100
u3½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Alaves
Osasuna 		29.0%
42.0%		29.0%
+297
+124
+280
+125
2.18
o1¾-112
u1¾+102
o2+125
u2-130
1st H
39:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mallorca
Athletic Club		15.1%
62.4%		22.5%
+550
-170
+550
-185
0
0		-1.41923-1.43792-1.49059
Real Madrid
Almeria		71.8%
10.5%		17.7%
-230
+642
-230
+575
2
1		-0.39034-0.41308-0.33155
Girona
Valencia		17.0%
60.8%		22.2%
+355
-110
+340
-115
0
1		-0.67006-0.67641-0.49728
Real Sociedad
Cadiz		42.6%
28.9%		28.5%
+120
+291
+120
+270
1
0		-0.81583-0.83979-0.85289
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.4%
83.0%		11.6%
+1482
-443
+1350
-500
0
0		-1.96754-1.95878-2.15107
Villarreal
Valladolid		59.4%
18.4%		22.2%
+120
+247
+110
+265
3
0		-0.82216-0.78117-0.52086
Espanyol
Celta Vigo		19.8%
56.3%		23.9%
+433
-125
+400
-130
2
2		-1.30166-1.30247-1.43196
Sevilla
Osasuna		40.6%
30.2%		29.2%
+160
+224
+140
+220
1
2		-1.19650-1.21362-1.19832
Athletic Club
Sevilla		18.5%
56.4%		25.0%
+173
+186
+160
+185
0
1		-1.07236-1.09419-0.57212
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad		41.3%
30.1%		28.6%
+188
+170
+165
+175
2
1		-1.08276-1.02210-0.88491
Villarreal
Barcelona		13.6%
67.8%		18.5%
+268
+102
+270
-110
2
0		-1.32268-1.35759-1.99407
Mallorca
Osasuna		19.3%
56.3%		24.4%
+155
+200
+145
+205
2
0		-0.96420-0.94348-1.64698
Espanyol
Granada		27.2%
46.5%		26.3%
+685
-220
+650
-240
0
0		-1.60804-1.60664-1.33461
Cadiz
Alaves		30.8%
39.6%		29.6%
-130
+385
-135
+380
1
0		-0.59481-0.59597-1.17801
Getafe
Elche		27.8%
42.4%		29.9%
+163
+223
+165
+210
1
3		-1.19647-1.18097-0.85871
Celta Vigo
Valencia		28.1%
45.7%		26.1%
+179
+170
+175
+165
0
2		-1.01506-1.02210-0.78268
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.20138 
Sportsbooks30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.22589 
DRatings30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.28514
-0.08376
-0.05925

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.