Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Real Madrid 		6.2%
80.8%		13.0%
+1300
-475
+1200
-515
0.60
2.65		3.25
o3½+102
u3½-114
o3½+100
u3½-110
Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Celta Vigo
Valencia		28.1%
45.7%		26.1%
+179
+170
+175
+165
0
2		-1.01506-1.02210-0.78268
Levante
Rayo Vallecano		23.3%
52.1%		24.5%
+324
-119
+315
-125
4
2		-1.47277-1.47159-1.45569
Betis
Real Madrid		10.8%
72.4%		16.8%
+460
-180
+440
-165
0
0		-1.62420-1.56791-1.78219
Real Sociedad
Villarreal		19.6%
58.0%		22.4%
+266
+123
+255
+115
2
1		-1.30482-1.31557-1.63153
Alaves
Levante		21.5%
54.6%		23.8%
+135
+190
+145
+185
1
3		-1.09437-1.07978-0.60446
Real Madrid
Cadiz		67.9%
12.1%		20.0%
+168
+188
+145
+185
1
1		-1.27906-1.28609-1.60829
Barcelona
Getafe		69.8%
11.3%		18.9%
+116
+273
+115
+265
0
0		-1.25906-1.21345-1.66405
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca		29.4%
41.9%		28.7%
+440
-129
+400
-135
1
2		-0.59615-0.60525-0.86974
Elche
Celta Vigo		16.6%
60.8%		22.6%
+841
-265
+825
-300
0
1		-0.34339-0.33687-0.49799
Granada
Betis		12.7%
69.6%		17.7%
+501
-179
+510
-195
0
2		-0.46794-0.46488-0.36284
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid		18.0%
57.0%		25.0%
+400
+100
+365
-105
1
1		-1.16251-1.18003-1.38589
Osasuna
Athletic Club		20.8%
53.9%		25.3%
+620
-203
+610
-220
0
2		-0.42875-0.42402-0.61789
Valencia
Espanyol		31.4%
41.1%		27.5%
+162
+186
+160
+180
1
1		-1.23836-1.22693-1.29138
Levante
Real Madrid		4.9%
84.6%		10.5%
+560
-223
+530
-240
0
6		-0.38384-0.39692-0.16740
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano		49.8%
24.9%		25.3%
-109
+340
-115
+330
5
1		-0.66916-0.67749-0.69750
Cadiz
Real Sociedad		13.6%
65.5%		20.9%
+575
-156
+575
-175
0
3		-0.51512-0.49855-0.42239
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-0-3 (0.625)0-1.11044 
Sportsbooks41-0-3 (0.625)0-1.13218 
DRatings41-0-3 (0.625)0-1.18074
-0.07029
-0.04855

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.