Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Valencia
Oviedo 		36.7%
33.9%		29.4%
+168
+190
+165
+185
1.11
1.05		2.16
o2¼+101
u2¼-112
o2-145
u2+130
Elche
Real Madrid 		7.5%
78.3%		14.1%
+785
-286
+750
-310
0.68
2.58		3.26
o3¼-102
u3¼-107
o3½+120
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Getafe
Atletico Madrid 		12.1%
68.7%		19.2%
+600
-149
+570
-160
2.85
o2-114
u2+105
o2-115
u2+100
1st H
44:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Getafe
Girona		29.1%
41.0%		29.9%
+285
+137
+260
+140
1
3		-0.88562-0.92576-0.89138
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		53.0%
22.7%		24.3%
+110
+268
+105
+265
4
1		-0.77113-0.76040-0.63501
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid		19.7%
56.7%		23.6%
+351
-110
+350
-115
2
0		-1.54029-1.55405-1.62587
Valencia
Athletic Club		20.6%
55.0%		24.4%
+495
-143
+420
-145
0
1		-0.55316-0.57752-0.59795
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo		60.2%
17.5%		22.4%
-153
+435
-160
+400
4
1		-0.52689-0.53495-0.50828
Betis
Mallorca		46.4%
27.2%		26.3%
+135
+236
+135
+225
2
1		-0.88479-0.90387-0.76688
Cadiz
Osasuna		20.0%
54.8%		25.3%
+380
-108
+370
-115
0
2		-0.68027-0.67515-0.60217
Valladolid
Sevilla		8.7%
74.3%		17.0%
+600
-184
+600
-200
1
1		-1.46348-1.46305-1.77090
Rayo Vallecano
Espanyol		27.4%
45.1%		27.5%
+212
+160
+205
+155
2
0		-1.17031-1.16713-1.29423
Elche
Betis		11.2%
71.1%		17.7%
+500
-164
+520
-180
0
3		-0.50173-0.48595-0.34117
Atletico Madrid
Getafe		59.2%
16.2%		24.6%
-115
+495
-120
+450
3
0		-0.63913-0.65479-0.52506
Mallorca
Athletic Club		15.1%
62.4%		22.5%
+550
-170
+550
-185
0
0		-1.41923-1.43792-1.49059
Real Madrid
Almeria		71.8%
10.5%		17.7%
-230
+642
-230
+575
2
1		-0.39034-0.41308-0.33155
Girona
Valencia		17.0%
60.8%		22.2%
+355
-110
+340
-115
0
1		-0.67006-0.67641-0.49728
Real Sociedad
Cadiz		42.6%
28.9%		28.5%
+120
+291
+120
+270
1
0		-0.81583-0.83979-0.85289
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.4%
83.0%		11.6%
+1482
-443
+1350
-500
0
0		-1.96754-1.95878-2.15107
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.18650 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.19363 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.14898
0.03752
0.04465

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.