Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Valencia
Oviedo 		36.7%
33.9%		29.4%
+165
+192
+165
+185
1.11
1.05		2.16
o2¼-103
u2¼-106
o2-150
u2½-142
Volatility Bet Value Active
Elche
Real Madrid 		7.5%
78.3%		14.1%
+785
-294
+750
-310
0.68
2.58		3.26
o3¼+100
u3¼-107
o3½+120
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.4%
83.0%		11.6%
+1482
-443
+1350
-500
0
0		-1.96754-1.95878-2.15107
Villarreal
Valladolid		59.4%
18.4%		22.2%
+120
+247
+110
+265
3
0		-0.82216-0.78117-0.52086
Espanyol
Celta Vigo		19.8%
56.3%		23.9%
+433
-125
+400
-130
2
2		-1.30166-1.30247-1.43196
Sevilla
Osasuna		40.6%
30.2%		29.2%
+160
+224
+140
+220
1
2		-1.19650-1.21362-1.19832
Athletic Club
Sevilla		18.5%
56.4%		25.0%
+173
+186
+160
+185
0
1		-1.07236-1.09419-0.57212
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad		41.3%
30.1%		28.6%
+188
+170
+165
+175
2
1		-1.08276-1.02210-0.88491
Villarreal
Barcelona		13.6%
67.8%		18.5%
+268
+102
+270
-110
2
0		-1.32268-1.35759-1.99407
Mallorca
Osasuna		19.3%
56.3%		24.4%
+155
+200
+145
+205
2
0		-0.96420-0.94348-1.64698
Espanyol
Granada		27.2%
46.5%		26.3%
+685
-220
+650
-240
0
0		-1.60804-1.60664-1.33461
Cadiz
Alaves		30.8%
39.6%		29.6%
-130
+385
-135
+380
1
0		-0.59481-0.59597-1.17801
Getafe
Elche		27.8%
42.4%		29.9%
+163
+223
+165
+210
1
3		-1.19647-1.18097-0.85871
Celta Vigo
Valencia		28.1%
45.7%		26.1%
+179
+170
+175
+165
0
2		-1.01506-1.02210-0.78268
Levante
Rayo Vallecano		23.3%
52.1%		24.5%
+324
-119
+315
-125
4
2		-1.47277-1.47159-1.45569
Betis
Real Madrid		10.8%
72.4%		16.8%
+460
-180
+440
-165
0
0		-1.62420-1.56791-1.78219
Real Sociedad
Villarreal		19.6%
58.0%		22.4%
+266
+123
+255
+115
2
1		-1.30482-1.31557-1.63153
Alaves
Levante		21.5%
54.6%		23.8%
+135
+190
+145
+185
1
3		-1.09437-1.07978-0.60446
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-0.96820 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-0.97268 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-0.89113
0.07708
0.08156

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.