Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Barcelona
Villarreal 		58.5%
19.4%		22.1%
-134
+320
-135
+295
1.90
0.99		2.89
o3½-110
u3½+105
o3½-110
u3½-105
Rayo Vallecano
Elche 		40.3%
31.0%		28.7%
+227
+154
+221
+145
1.21
1.02		2.23
o2-116
u2+106
o2-120
u2+105
Getafe
Betis 		12.3%
68.0%		19.8%
+480
-125
+445
-130
0.73
2.03		2.76
o2+101
u2-112
o2-105
u2+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Atletico Madrid
Girona 		56.9%
19.1%		24.0%
-135
+440
-150
+390
2.55
o2½-114
u2½+102
o2½-115
u2½+110
2nd H
50:00		2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Betis		20.8%
55.2%		24.0%
+213
+156
+195
+150
0
1		-0.95488-0.96192-0.59457
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano		53.1%
21.5%		25.4%
+152
+229
+135
+235
1
1		-1.16110-1.16575-1.36920
Valencia
Getafe		27.8%
43.9%		28.4%
+313
+124
+275
+120
0
0		-1.12252-1.16305-1.26023
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		12.1%
70.5%		17.5%
+463
-155
+460
-170
0
1		-0.51308-0.51061-0.35018
Espanyol
Levante		32.7%
39.4%		27.9%
+250
+130
+215
+130
1
1		-1.23829-1.25846-1.27565
Cadiz
Atletico Madrid		5.8%
79.4%		14.9%
+1056
-269
+850
-275
1
2		-0.33549-0.36241-0.23128
Levante
Athletic Club		17.0%
61.0%		22.0%
+600
-190
+575
-200
1
3		-0.44535-0.45435-0.49444
Atletico Madrid
Betis		42.7%
29.0%		28.3%
+130
+260
+120
+255
3
1		-0.85296-0.83605-0.85003
Mallorca
Celta Vigo		19.5%
56.4%		24.1%
+385
-103
+375
-115
3
4		-0.69495-0.67301-0.57219
Barcelona
Elche		68.6%
12.4%		19.0%
-232
+762
-250
+750
2
1		-0.37711-0.38462-0.37689
Rayo Vallecano
Cadiz		31.9%
38.4%		29.6%
+225
+150
+215
+170
0
2		-0.95124-1.01418-0.95615
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid		11.8%
69.9%		18.3%
+600
-195
+525
-190
1
4		-0.43973-0.47209-0.35833
Granada
Valencia		26.7%
48.1%		25.2%
+352
-113
+335
-115
1
3		-0.65216-0.67113-0.73137
Getafe
Espanyol		23.2%
48.9%		27.9%
+300
+129
+260
+125
0
2		-0.83573-0.85982-0.71535
Villarreal
Osasuna		45.9%
28.2%		25.9%
+123
+250
+105
+260
0
1		-1.28489-1.33094-1.26510
Sevilla
Alaves		60.1%
16.8%		23.1%
-104
+380
-115
+380
0
0		-1.21056-1.22830-1.46599
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75779 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76534 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.78435
-0.02656
-0.01901

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.