Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano 		14.1%
65.3%		20.5%
+445
-133
+440
-150
0.80
2.00		2.80
o2¼-110
u2¼-102
o2½+115
u2½-135
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Betis		57.2%
20.0%		22.8%
-111
+295
-120
+285
5
3		-0.66812-0.64215-0.55932
Real Sociedad
Alaves		30.5%
40.2%		29.4%
+196
+178
+185
+177
0
1		-1.05288-1.06308-0.91237
Getafe
Villarreal		12.7%
67.5%		19.8%
+530
-154
+527
-155
0
2		-0.53297-0.52787-0.39232
Mallorca
Oviedo		36.5%
32.9%		30.6%
+210
+162
+200
+160
0
0		-1.16671-1.14863-1.18358
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		36.9%
34.1%		29.0%
-121
+350
-125
+340
3
0		-0.63609-0.62008-0.99731
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona		15.8%
62.6%		21.5%
+355
-144
+364
-135
1
3		-0.56143-0.57400-0.46804
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		16.6%
61.5%		21.9%
+295
+111
+300
+110
1
1		-1.21716-1.22271-1.51896
Real Madrid
Girona		63.8%
15.3%		20.9%
-265
+645
-234
+625
1
1		-1.77549-1.73972-1.56380
Espanyol
Celta Vigo		18.9%
58.2%		23.0%
+345
-110
+311
+100
1
0		-1.52818-1.44202-1.66860
Betis
Sevilla		41.3%
30.9%		27.8%
+178
+170
+170
+183
2
0		-1.05682-1.02237-0.88344
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		30.5%
42.5%		27.0%
+154
+190
+160
+185
3
2		-0.96598-0.98136-1.18682
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid		5.3%
81.7%		13.0%
+1265
-410
+1250
-405
0
2		-0.25114-0.25609-0.20172
Athletic Club
Levante		55.9%
20.1%		24.0%
+106
+290
+115
+310
2
0		-0.75805-0.76434-0.58166
Alaves
Barcelona		5.4%
82.2%		12.4%
+1025
-387
+1075
-450
1
3		-0.26386-0.25084-0.19633
Osasuna
Mallorca		24.8%
47.9%		27.3%
+237
+147
+240
+140
2
2		-1.13296-1.15306-1.29726
Elche
Getafe		27.8%
42.6%		29.6%
+298
+126
+290
+135
0
1		-0.84756-0.87512-0.85421
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.