Real Sociedad at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Real Sociedad

11.9%19.7%68.4%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.03

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 1-0 at Mallorca+140
T 3-3 vs Oviedo-185
L 1-4 at Real Madrid+700
W 1-3 vs Elche-155
T 1-1 at Athletic Club+275
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-0 at Oviedo-130
W 2-4 vs Espanyol-237
L 0-3 at Rayo Vallecano-120
L 1-0 vs Betis-225
T 0-0 at Levante-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+560+470+460+470+470+470+470+498.4
Atletico Madrid-230-172-172-175-175-175-172-153.9
Draw+375+300+305+320+320+320+320+341.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad-----+498.4
Atletico Madrid------153.9
Draw-----+341.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +475 to +460
No Steam Moves On Atletico Madrid ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2½-119o2½-122o2¾+105o2¾+105o2¾+105o2½-119o2¾+114
Underu2¾-105u2½+106u2½+102u2¾-125u2¾-125u2¾-125u2¾-125u2¾-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+114
Under-----u2¾-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.45%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 415.17%
Exactly 63.80%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.69%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 58.31%
Exactly 71.49%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 049.24%
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 212.36%
Exactly 32.92%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 013.11%
Exactly 126.64%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.33%
Exactly 49.31%
Exactly 53.78%
Exactly 61.28%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.12%
Exactly 222.63%
Exactly 43.04%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 39.57%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 072.03%
Exactly 123.63%
Exactly 23.88%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 039.03%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.27%
Exactly 35.42%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals3.13%
Wins by 3+ goals0.59%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals43.14%
Wins by 3+ goals22.15%
Wins by 4+ goals9.37%
Wins by 5+ goals3.30%
Wins by 6+ goals0.94%
Wins by 7+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal8.75%
Wins by 2 goals2.54%
Wins by 3 goals0.52%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.11%
Wins by 2 goals20.99%
Wins by 3 goals12.78%
Wins by 4 goals6.07%
Wins by 5 goals2.36%
Wins by 6 goals0.76%
Wins by 7 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.55%6.45%
1.575.86%24.14%
2.551.62%48.38%
3.529.48%70.52%
4.514.32%85.68%
5.56.00%94.00%
6.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.76%49.24%
1.515.88%84.12%
2.53.52%96.48%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.89%13.11%
1.560.25%39.75%
2.533.19%66.81%
3.514.87%85.13%
4.55.56%94.44%
5.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.88%28.12%
1.536.21%63.79%
2.513.58%86.42%
3.54.00%96.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
6.45%
13.12%
13.32%
9.02%
4.58%
1.86%
1
4.57%
9.29%
9.44%
6.39%
3.25%
1.32%
2
1.62%
3.29%
3.34%
2.26%
1.15%
0.47%
3
0.38%
0.78%
0.79%
0.53%
0.27%
0.11%
Real Sociedad
1-04.57%
2-01.62%
2-13.29%
3-00.38%
3-10.78%
3-20.79%
Draw
0-06.45%
1-19.29%
2-23.34%
3-30.53%
Atletico Madrid
0-113.12%
0-213.32%
1-29.44%
0-39.02%
1-36.39%
2-32.26%
0-44.58%
1-43.25%
2-41.15%
3-40.27%
0-51.86%
1-51.32%
2-50.47%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
28.12%
26.45%
12.44%
3.90%
0.92%
0.17%
1
9.22%
8.68%
4.08%
1.28%
0.30%
0.06%
2
1.51%
1.42%
0.67%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.17%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Sociedad
1-09.22%
2-01.51%
2-11.42%
3-00.17%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-028.12%
1-18.68%
2-20.67%
Atletico Madrid
0-126.45%
0-212.44%
1-24.08%
0-33.90%
1-31.28%
2-30.21%
0-40.92%
1-40.30%
0-50.17%