Malmo at Varberg

Updated

Malmo

52.9%24.6%22.5%
Malmo WinDrawVarberg Win
1.64Projected Goals 0.98
5Final Score 2

Varberg

Last 5 Games

Malmo
Money Line
L 1-2 at Hacken+300
L 3-2 vs Djurgarden-110
L 1-2 at Goteborg-125
T 0-0 vs Varnamo-370
T 0-0 vs Hammarby+110
Varberg
Money Line
L 1-4 at Mjallby+215
L 3-0 vs Elfsborg+215
W 3-1 at Helsingborg+230
L 1-5 at Hammarby+1050
T 1-1 vs Hacken+290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-8.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Malmo-160+166+165+165-106+165+166+179.2
Varberg+440+167+160+165+266+165+266+175.1
Draw+285+245+230+256+268+256+268+259.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Malmo-115----+160+160+179.2
Varberg+300----+170+170+175.1
Draw+275----+240+240+259.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Malmo: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Varberg: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Malmo: 30.0%
Varberg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Malmo: 0.0%
Varberg: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Malmo ML
Varberg ML moved from +178 to +172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Malmo: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Malmo: 40.0%
Varberg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Malmo: 0.0%
Varberg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Malmo ML
Varberg ML moved from +205 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2½-112o2½-112o2½-118-o2½-118o2½-112o2½+100
Underu2¾-112u2½-106u2½-108u2½-102-u2½-102u2½-102u2½-100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½-100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.26%
Exactly 224.97%
Exactly 414.31%
Exactly 63.28%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.04%
Exactly 321.83%
Exactly 57.51%
Exactly 71.23%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Malmo
Exactly 019.35%
Exactly 131.78%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 314.29%
Exactly 45.87%
Exactly 51.93%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Varberg
Exactly 037.52%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.69%
Exactly 221.89%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 38.86%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Malmo
Exactly 046.74%
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 213.52%
Exactly 33.43%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varberg
Exactly 063.52%
Exactly 128.83%
Exactly 26.54%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Malmo
Wins by 2+ goals28.37%
Wins by 3+ goals12.14%
Wins by 4+ goals4.24%
Wins by 5+ goals1.23%
Varberg
Wins by 2+ goals7.87%
Wins by 3+ goals2.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Malmo
Varberg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Malmo
Wins by 1 goal24.48%
Wins by 2 goals16.23%
Wins by 3 goals7.90%
Wins by 4 goals3.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.94%
Varberg
Wins by 1 goal14.61%
Wins by 2 goals5.78%
Wins by 3 goals1.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.74%7.26%
1.573.70%26.30%
2.548.73%51.27%
3.526.90%73.10%
4.512.58%87.42%
5.55.07%94.93%
6.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Malmo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.65%19.35%
1.548.87%51.13%
2.522.77%77.23%
3.58.48%91.52%
4.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Varberg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.48%37.52%
1.525.70%74.30%
2.57.67%92.33%
3.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.31%29.69%
1.534.25%65.75%
2.512.36%87.64%
3.53.50%96.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Malmo
Varberg
Score01234
0
7.26%
7.12%
3.49%
1.14%
0.28%
1
11.93%
11.69%
5.73%
1.87%
0.46%
2
9.79%
9.60%
4.71%
1.54%
0.38%
3
5.36%
5.26%
2.58%
0.84%
0.21%
4
2.20%
2.16%
1.06%
0.35%
0.08%
5
0.72%
0.71%
0.35%
0.11%
0.03%
Malmo
1-011.93%
2-09.79%
2-19.60%
3-05.36%
3-15.26%
3-22.58%
4-02.20%
4-12.16%
4-21.06%
4-30.35%
5-00.72%
5-10.71%
5-20.35%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.26%
1-111.69%
2-24.71%
3-30.84%
Varberg
0-17.12%
0-23.49%
1-25.73%
0-31.14%
1-31.87%
2-31.54%
0-40.28%
1-40.46%
2-40.38%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Malmo
Varberg
Score0123
0
29.69%
13.47%
3.06%
0.46%
1
22.58%
10.25%
2.33%
0.35%
2
8.59%
3.90%
0.88%
0.13%
3
2.18%
0.99%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.41%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
Malmo
1-022.58%
2-08.59%
2-13.90%
3-02.18%
3-10.99%
3-20.22%
4-00.41%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-029.69%
1-110.25%
2-20.88%
Varberg
0-113.47%
0-23.06%
1-22.33%
0-30.46%
1-30.35%
2-30.13%