Malmo at Värnamo

Updated

Malmo

38.5%28.6%32.9%
Malmo WinDrawVärnamo Win
1.19Projected Goals 1.07
0Final Score 0

Varnamo

Last Games

Malmo
Money Line
W 0-3 vs AIK Stockholm-135
T 1-1 vs Elfsborg-180
W 1-0 at Kalmar-120
T 0-0 vs Halmstad-245
W 1-0 at Kalmar-145
Varnamo
Money Line
L 1-4 at Elfsborg+575
T 0-0 vs Sirius+115
L 1-2 at Goteborg+410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Malmo------148.4
Värnamo-----+506.2
Draw-----+320.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Malmo-170-----175-175-148.4
Värnamo+510----+500+500+506.2
Draw+290----+300+300+320.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Malmo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Värnamo: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Malmo: 0.0%
Värnamo: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Malmo: 0.0%
Värnamo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Malmo ML moved from -190 to -220
Värnamo ML moved from +600 to +500

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.45%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 411.33%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.60%
Exactly 320.07%
Exactly 55.12%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Malmo
Exactly 030.56%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 38.48%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Varnamo
Exactly 034.18%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.70%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.14%
Exactly 219.22%
Exactly 41.75%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.70%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Malmo
Exactly 057.76%
Exactly 131.70%
Exactly 28.70%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varnamo
Exactly 060.83%
Exactly 130.24%
Exactly 27.51%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Malmo
Wins by 2+ goals16.33%
Wins by 3+ goals5.34%
Wins by 4+ goals1.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Varnamo
Wins by 2+ goals12.79%
Wins by 3+ goals3.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Malmo
Varnamo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Malmo
Wins by 1 goal22.12%
Wins by 2 goals10.99%
Wins by 3 goals3.95%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Varnamo
Wins by 1 goal20.03%
Wins by 2 goals9.01%
Wins by 3 goals2.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.55%10.45%
1.565.96%34.04%
2.539.30%60.70%
3.519.24%80.76%
4.57.90%92.10%
5.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Malmo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.44%30.56%
1.533.21%66.79%
2.511.74%88.26%
3.53.25%96.75%

Total Goals Varnamo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.82%34.18%
1.529.13%70.87%
2.59.43%90.57%
3.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.86%35.14%
1.528.11%71.89%
2.58.89%91.11%
3.52.19%97.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Malmo
Varnamo
Score012345
0
10.45%
11.21%
6.02%
2.15%
0.58%
0.12%
1
12.38%
13.29%
7.14%
2.55%
0.69%
0.15%
2
7.34%
7.88%
4.23%
1.51%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.90%
3.11%
1.67%
0.60%
0.16%
0.03%
4
0.86%
0.92%
0.50%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.22%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Malmo
1-012.38%
2-07.34%
2-17.88%
3-02.90%
3-13.11%
3-21.67%
4-00.86%
4-10.92%
4-20.50%
4-30.18%
5-00.20%
5-10.22%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-010.45%
1-113.29%
2-24.23%
3-30.60%
Varnamo
0-111.21%
0-26.02%
1-27.14%
0-32.15%
1-32.55%
2-31.51%
0-40.58%
1-40.69%
2-40.41%
3-40.16%
0-50.12%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Malmo
Varnamo
Score0123
0
35.14%
17.47%
4.34%
0.72%
1
19.29%
9.59%
2.38%
0.39%
2
5.29%
2.63%
0.65%
0.11%
3
0.97%
0.48%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Malmo
1-019.29%
2-05.29%
2-12.63%
3-00.97%
3-10.48%
3-20.12%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-035.14%
1-19.59%
2-20.65%
Varnamo
0-117.47%
0-24.34%
1-22.38%
0-30.72%
1-30.39%
2-30.11%