Hammarby at Värnamo

Updated

Hammarby

59.3%22.6%18.1%
Hammarby WinDrawWin
1.82Projected Goals 0.90
3Final Score 2

Varnamo

Last 5 Games

Hammarby
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Brommapojkarna
L 2-3 at GAIS
W 0-1 vs Varnamo
W 0-2 vs Halmstad
W 2-0 at Elfsborg
Varnamo
Money Line
L 1-3 at Norrkoping
W 0-1 vs Djurgarden
L 0-1 at Hammarby
T 0-0 vs Elfsborg
L 0-2 at Mjallby

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hammarby-153-176-172-172-183-172-172-151.6
Värnamo+360+431+430+450+458+450+458+477.2
Draw+304+316+315+325+326+325+326+346.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hammarby------151.6
Värnamo-----+477.2
Draw-----+346.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hammarby: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Värnamo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hammarby: 0.0%
Värnamo: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hammarby: 0.0%
Värnamo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hammarby ML moved from -177 to -183
Värnamo ML moved from +449 to +439

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-127o3+118o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-104
Underu2½+109u3-138u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u3-138u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-117 to o2¾-107
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.57%
Exactly 224.35%
Exactly 415.05%
Exactly 63.72%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.88%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 58.19%
Exactly 71.45%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Hammarby
Exactly 016.10%
Exactly 129.41%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.34%
Exactly 47.46%
Exactly 52.73%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Varnamo
Exactly 040.78%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.40%
Exactly 34.90%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.34%
Exactly 222.53%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 39.47%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hammarby
Exactly 042.93%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.35%
Exactly 34.33%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varnamo
Exactly 066.01%
Exactly 127.42%
Exactly 25.69%
Exactly 30.79%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hammarby
Wins by 2+ goals34.32%
Wins by 3+ goals16.03%
Wins by 4+ goals6.14%
Wins by 5+ goals1.96%
Varnamo
Wins by 2+ goals5.84%
Wins by 3+ goals1.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Hammarby
Varnamo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Hammarby
Wins by 1 goal24.89%
Wins by 2 goals18.30%
Wins by 3 goals9.89%
Wins by 4 goals4.19%
Wins by 5 goals1.45%
Varnamo
Wins by 1 goal12.23%
Wins by 2 goals4.41%
Wins by 3 goals1.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.43%6.57%
1.575.55%24.45%
2.551.20%48.80%
3.529.10%70.90%
4.514.06%85.94%
5.55.86%94.14%
6.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Hammarby Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.90%16.10%
1.554.49%45.51%
2.527.64%72.36%
3.511.29%88.71%
4.53.83%96.17%
5.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Varnamo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.22%40.78%
1.522.64%77.36%
2.56.24%93.76%
3.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.66%28.34%
1.535.92%64.08%
2.513.40%86.60%
3.53.93%96.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hammarby
Varnamo
Score01234
0
6.57%
5.89%
2.64%
0.79%
0.18%
1
11.99%
10.76%
4.82%
1.44%
0.32%
2
10.95%
9.82%
4.40%
1.32%
0.30%
3
6.67%
5.98%
2.68%
0.80%
0.18%
4
3.04%
2.73%
1.22%
0.37%
0.08%
5
1.11%
1.00%
0.45%
0.13%
0.03%
Hammarby
1-011.99%
2-010.95%
2-19.82%
3-06.67%
3-15.98%
3-22.68%
4-03.04%
4-12.73%
4-21.22%
4-30.37%
5-01.11%
5-11.00%
5-20.45%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.57%
1-110.76%
2-24.40%
3-30.80%
Varnamo
0-15.89%
0-22.64%
1-24.82%
0-30.79%
1-31.44%
2-31.32%
0-40.18%
1-40.32%
2-40.30%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Hammarby
Varnamo
Score0123
0
28.34%
11.77%
2.44%
0.34%
1
23.96%
9.95%
2.07%
0.29%
2
10.13%
4.21%
0.87%
0.12%
3
2.86%
1.19%
0.25%
0.03%
4
0.60%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Hammarby
1-023.96%
2-010.13%
2-14.21%
3-02.86%
3-11.19%
3-20.25%
4-00.60%
4-10.25%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-028.34%
1-19.95%
2-20.87%
Varnamo
0-111.77%
0-22.44%
1-22.07%
0-30.34%
1-30.29%
2-30.12%