Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sundsvall
Elfsborg		14.9%
65.3%		19.8%
+803
-278
+750
-300
1
3		-0.33142-0.33596-0.42625
Hacken
Helsingborg		33.4%
38.4%		28.3%
-102
+316
-105
+295
1
1		-1.30782-1.30258-1.26372
Mjallby
Varberg		36.9%
35.2%		28.0%
+240
+155
+190
+160
0
0		-1.12024-1.18215-1.27447
Djurgarden
AIK Stockholm		24.5%
48.4%		27.1%
+302
+111
+270
+115
0
1		-0.77847-0.81697-0.72644
Elfsborg
Helsingborg		47.0%
27.1%		25.8%
-132
+392
-140
+380
0
1		-1.62156-1.61873-1.30497
Hammarby
Degerfors		51.3%
25.2%		23.5%
-148
+408
-160
+400
1
0		-0.54259-0.53495-0.66734
Malmo
Varnamo		38.5%
32.9%		28.6%

-175
+500
0
0		-1.43797-1.25117
Hacken
Norrkoping		22.7%
53.7%		23.7%
+266
+107
+245
+105
1
1		-1.34446-1.34508-1.44155
Djurgarden
Goteborg		36.6%
34.5%		28.9%
+163
+205
+165
+180
1
1		-1.18784-1.19806-1.24264
Varberg
AIK Stockholm		13.3%
66.8%		19.9%
+677
-181
+650
-195
0
1		-0.46868-0.46348-0.40420
Sirius
Mjallby		12.7%
69.2%		18.1%
+420
-127
+400
-130
0
3		-0.60547-0.62021-0.36759
Kalmar
Sundsvall		25.1%
48.7%		26.1%
+125
+276
+115
+250
0
1		-1.31890-1.30092-0.71859
Helsingborg
Sirius		28.3%
46.0%		25.7%
+225
+129
+210
+125
0
1		-0.85046-0.86232-0.77675
Varnamo
Elfsborg		24.2%
50.7%		25.1%

+575
-210
1
4		-0.44096-0.68007
Goteborg
Hacken		27.9%
45.4%		26.6%
+309
+102
+285
-105
2
0		-1.42122-1.40031-1.27543
AIK Stockholm
Malmo		19.7%
56.0%		24.3%
+475
-137
+410
-135
0
3		-0.57079-0.60523-0.58030
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.