UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%


Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%


Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%


Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%


Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%


Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Michael Trizano
SeungWoo Choi		32.2%
67.8%
+165
-185
+170
-190
Win
Loss		-1.00068-1.01846-1.13320
Julio Arce
Montel Jackson		41.6%
58.4%
+170
-200
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.44183-0.42898-0.53866
Carlos Ulberg
Nicolae Negumereanu		57.7%
42.3%
-132
+115
-130
+115
Win
Loss		-0.59746-0.60042-0.55057
Amanda Lemos
Marina Rodriguez		32.0%
68.0%
+222
-250
+220
-240
Win
Loss		-1.19392-1.18136-1.14062
Daniel Rodriguez
Neil Magny		55.5%
44.5%
-103
-105
+105
-115
Loss
Win		-0.68844-0.64814-0.80930
Darrick Minner
Nuerdanbieke Shayilan		44.0%
56.0%
+325
-350
+345
-400
Loss
Win		-0.26429-0.24756-0.57971
Nate Maness
Tagir Ulanbekov		32.1%
67.9%
+210
-250
+218
-230
Loss
Win		-0.37267-0.37238-0.38687
Mark Madsen
Grant Dawson		25.6%
74.4%
+190
-210
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41146-0.41690-0.29604
Shanna Young
Miranda Maverick		26.5%
73.5%
+725
-900
+695
-800
Loss
Win		-0.12635-0.13235-0.30752
Benito Lopez
Mario Bautista		27.7%
72.3%
+358
-415
+345
-400
Loss
Win		-0.23977-0.24756-0.32501
Jinh Yu Frey
Polyana Viana		49.6%
50.4%
+125
-139
+125
-145
Loss
Win		-0.56768-0.56016-0.68524
Liudvik Sholinian
Johnny Munoz		34.5%
65.5%
+230
-265
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34881-0.35037-0.42350
Carlos Candelario
Jake Hadley		38.3%
61.7%
+235
-270
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34293-0.35037-0.48358
Ramona Pascual
Ravena Oliveira		40.7%
59.3%
+100
-105
+100
-120
Loss
Win		-0.68116-0.65059-0.52190
Calvin Kattar
Arnold Allen		59.0%
41.0%
+111
-115
+120
-115
Loss
Win		-0.63448-0.61509-0.89150
Tim Means
Max Griffin		39.3%
60.7%
+160
-185
+155
-175
Loss
Win		-0.46533-0.48012-0.49982
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.