UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 6, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ariane Carnelossi
Ketlen Souza
31.6%
68.4%
+250
-300
+265
-310
Yuneisy Duben
Jeisla Chaves
19.0%
81.0%
+290
-350
+310
-360
Joanderson Brito
Jordan Leavitt
67.3%
32.7%
-171
+158
-180
+160
Chelsea Chandler
Priscila Cachoeira
49.7%
50.3%
-122
+104
-120
+105
Edgar Chairez
Bruno Silva
50.5%
49.5%
+107
-117
+105
-125
John Yannis
Marcus McGhee
20.3%
79.7%
+370
-450
+375
-415
Alessandro Costa
Matt Schnell
84.7%
15.3%
-515
+400
-530
+425
Junior Tafa
Iwo Baraniewski
39.2%
60.8%
+330
-400
+340
-400
Santiago Luna
Bryce Mitchell
39.8%
60.2%
+115
-133
+125
-130
Tom Nolan
Fares Ziam
32.3%
67.7%
+255
-300
+250
-300
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brendan Allen
38.9%
61.1%
+170
-195
+165
-175
Gabriel Bonfim
Belal Muhammad
49.2%
50.8%
-108
-106
-105
-110
Fights for Jun 5, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Hailey Cowan
Jamey-Lyn Horth
45.0%
55.0%
+141
-160
+145
-160
Loss
Win
-0.51539-0.50878-0.59815
Sergei Pavlovich
Curtis Blaydes
38.1%
61.9%
+120
-115
+115
-125
Win
Loss
-0.77781-0.78592-0.96496
Bruno Silva
Brad Tavares
45.1%
54.9%
+155
-160
+165
-180
Win
Loss
-0.94358-0.99458-0.79720
Jared Gordon
Bobby Green
30.7%
69.3%
+235
-260
+230
-260
Draw
Draw
-0.78770-0.78461-0.77392
Brogan Walker-Sanchez
Iasmin Lucindo
29.2%
70.8%
+345
-430
+350
-360
Loss
Win
-0.24449-0.24994-0.34493
Matthew Semelsberger
Jeremiah Wells
40.9%
59.1%
-115
+107
-110
+105
Loss
Win
-0.74537-0.72940-0.52597
Christos Giagos
Rick Glenn
34.4%
65.6%
+140
-144
+140
-150
Win
Loss
-0.88228-0.89199-1.06842
Rani Yahya
Montel Jackson
22.8%
77.2%
+525
-600
+475
-580
Loss
Win
-0.17114-0.18556-0.25819
Norma Dumont
Karol Rosa
49.7%
50.3%
-115
+106
-115
+105
Win
Loss
-0.64582-0.64814-0.69983
Junior Tafa
Mohammed Usman
50.8%
49.2%
-118
+112
-115
+105
Loss
Win
-0.76430-0.74028-0.70826
William Gomis
Francis Marshall
44.0%
56.0%
+180
-200
+180
-185
Win
Loss
-1.05317-1.03586-0.82178
Brady Hiestand
Batgerel Danaa
33.7%
66.3%
+130
-150
+135
-145
Win
Loss
-0.86710-0.87165-1.08723
Arnold Allen
Max Holloway
23.8%
76.2%
+155
-165
+143
-160
Loss
Win
-0.48848-0.51206-0.27199
Billy Quarantillo
Edson Barboza
59.0%
41.0%
-165
+157
-170
+160
Loss
Win
-0.95558-0.96964-0.89226
Azamat Murzakanov
Dustin Jacoby
42.6%
57.4%
+135
-142
+130
-135
Win
Loss
-0.86664-0.84211-0.85435
Ion Cutelaba
Tanner Boser
44.7%
55.3%
-110
+110
-130
+120
Win
Loss
-0.64663-0.59012-0.80629
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50597 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50672 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.53742
-0.03146
-0.03070

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.