UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175

Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185

Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%


Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285

Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190

Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Jared Vanderaa		59.9%
40.1%
-200
+185
-200
+195
Win
Loss		-0.42286-0.41110-0.51301
Tresean Gore
Josh Fremd		41.1%
58.9%
+140
-150
+148
-155
Win
Loss		-0.89199-0.91925-0.88926
Dustin Jacoby
Khalil Rountree Jr.		61.5%
38.5%
-170
+160
-170
+155
Loss
Win		-0.96964-0.95763-0.95337
Roman Dolidze
Phillip Hawes		42.1%
57.9%
+163
-170
+155
-160
Win
Loss		-0.97678-0.94358-0.86403
Andrei Arlovski
Marcos Rogerio de Lima		40.9%
59.1%
+210
-238
+220
-260
Loss
Win		-0.37714-0.35955-0.52528
Joseph Holmes
Junyong Park		40.2%
59.8%
+190
-206
+195
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41358-0.41110-0.51462
Chase Hooper
Steve Garcia		71.8%
28.2%
-305
+274
-300
+265
Loss
Win		-1.33933-1.31841-1.26723
Cody Durden
Carlos Mota		42.6%
57.4%
+140
-157
+145
-165
Win
Loss		-0.90266-0.92644-0.85435
Joshua Weems
Christian Rodriguez		28.9%
71.1%
+325
-390
+330
-380
Loss
Win		-0.25899-0.25755-0.34115
Charles Oliveira
Islam Makhachev		46.4%
53.6%
+170
-180
+180
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45497-0.44183-0.62426
TJ Dillashaw
Aljamain Sterling		37.0%
63.0%
+165
-170
+160
-160
Loss
Win		-0.46959-0.48552-0.46219
Sean O'Malley
Petr Yan		14.6%
85.4%
+245
-250
+245
-260
Win
Loss		-1.24251-1.25037-1.92470
Beneil Dariush
Mateusz Gamrot		41.6%
58.4%
+210
-190
+240
-260
Win
Loss		-1.10891-1.23998-0.87765
Katlyn Chookagian
Manon Fiorot		46.8%
53.2%
+200
+181
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.66097-0.40573-0.63160
Belal Muhammad
Sean Brady		45.6%
54.4%
+115
-125
+125
-125
Win
Loss		-0.78592-0.81094-0.78594
Makhmud Muradov
Caio Borralho		45.9%
54.1%
+197
-225
+200
-200
Loss
Win		-0.39632-0.40546-0.61456
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.