UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175

Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185

Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%


Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285

Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190

Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Volkan Oezdemir
Nikita Krylov		38.4%
61.6%
+163
-180
+180
-175
Loss
Win		-0.46466-0.44547-0.48509
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
Abubakar Nurmagomedov		28.2%
71.8%
+150
-135
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.52845-0.60042-0.33122
AJ Dobson
Armen Petrosyan		27.9%
72.1%
+185
-210
+180
-200
Loss
Win		-0.41737-0.42898-0.32695
Malcolm Gordon
Muhammad Mokaev		21.7%
78.3%
+850
-735
+850
-1200
Loss
Win		-0.11296-0.10799-0.24513
Lina Lansberg
Karol Rosa		34.7%
65.3%
+330
-245
+330
-360
Loss
Win		-0.28329-0.26017-0.42625
Viviane Araujo
Alexa Grasso		40.8%
59.2%
+200
-200
+200
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40546-0.40015-0.52440
Cub Swanson
Jonathan Martinez		49.5%
50.5%
+185
-190
+185
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42889-0.41737-0.68375
Jordan Wright
Dusko Todorovic		28.9%
71.1%
+190
-200
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41690-0.40573-0.34044
Raphael Assuncao
Victor Henry		32.2%
67.8%
+365
-330
+350
-410
Win
Loss		-1.51923-1.52989-1.13320
Misha Cirkunov
Alonzo Menifield		34.7%
65.3%
+180
-190
+175
-190
Loss
Win		-0.43510-0.44150-0.42609
Brandon Davis
Mana Martinez		48.9%
51.1%
+135
-142
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54535-0.54173-0.67109
Jacob Malkoun
Nick Maximov		34.3%
65.7%
+120
-130
+120
-130
Win
Loss		-0.80802-0.80802-1.07005
Lucas Alexander
Joanderson Brito		25.9%
74.1%
+365
-395
+350
-380
Loss
Win		-0.23861-0.24741-0.30007
Sam Hughes
Piera Rodriguez		56.1%
43.9%
+155
-175
+155
-165
Loss
Win		-0.48012-0.48848-0.82435
CJ Vergara
Tatsuro Taira		24.0%
76.0%
+255
-245
+245
-260
Loss
Win		-0.33409-0.33743-0.27508
Mike Jackson
Pete Rodriguez		19.0%
81.0%
+525
-660
+525
-660
Loss
Win		-0.16911-0.16911-0.21072
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.